Liberal Minority Government 2021 - 2025

[The Bread Guy]

Quick out-the-door snapshot of polling before the slew of new polling starts pouring in post-writ (source) ....

 

[MilEME09]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

 

[PrairieFella]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

She is just the worst eh?

 

[Booter]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

Danielle smith’s brand of provincial government works better when Alberta has the ability to complain about Ottawas liberal government.

So I never put much faith in her positions

 

[Remius]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

It’s almost as if she’s working against PP lol.

 

[Jarnhamar]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC.

Do you really think this is going to 'hurt' the CPC? Like they're going to lose votes because of this interview?

 

[JLB50]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

I think she’s so enamoured of the U.S. and the media attention she’s getting south of the border that she’d even sell her soul. I think this will appeal only to hers and the party’s most extreme right wing supporters

 

[Halifax Tar]

Well, this thread lasted longer than I thought it would.

Glad to see you're still around. I hope all is well.

 

[daftandbarmy]

Do you really think this is going to 'hurt' the CPC? Like they're going to lose votes because of this interview?

Once the election is announced today my guess is that everything before the announcement will be forgotten and overwhelmed by the panicky, rushed, likely poorly executed (but fun to watch) election campaign information dump.

We might even see some coherent, strategic, emotion free, rational election platforms, but I doubt it

 

[MilEME09]

Do you really think this is going to 'hurt' the CPC? Like they're going to lose votes because of this interview?

Yes, amongst undecided voters, it will have some sway

 

[suffolkowner]

Do you really think this is going to 'hurt' the CPC? Like they're going to lose votes because of this interview?

hard to say, I dont think it helps. Theres probably enough swing voters in this election up for grabs still to push the result one way or another

 

[brihard]

This interview isn't going to be good for the CPC. Premeire Smith calls out that Pierre would be more aligned with President Trump and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this.

Exclusive--Canadian Premier Danielle Smith: Trudeau Blew Tariff Negotiations in First Mar-a-Lago Meeting

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith of the United Conseravtive Party told Breitbart News Saturday that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set Canada back in tariff negotiations with America during a meeting with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

www.breitbart.com

Oof. It would have been fun to be a fly on the wall of the CPC war room when that dropped.

Do you really think this is going to 'hurt' the CPC? Like they're going to lose votes because of this interview?

A little bit. This election, rightly or wrongly, will have as a central issue Canada’s response, and ‘standing up to’ Trump. Poilievre has mostly been doing his best to try to ignore that problem and fight the campaign he planned on in December, but that’s been denied to him. He’s started a light pivot on the issue, but Smith’s interview undermines that and hinders building that distance.

It‘s a small negative for the CPC. Nothing earth shattering, just one of those external events a campaign can always do without.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Smith were to receive a call from the CPC not dissimilar in nature to the representations she made to the Trump administration. “Just sit the fuck down and shut the fuck up for six weeks, please.”

 

[brihard]

hard to say, I dont think it helps. Theres probably enough swing voters in this election up for grabs still to push the result one way or another

There are definitely a lot of swing voters up for grabs. LPC have the disadvantage of fighting on two fronts; competing with CPC for persuadable centrists, and with the NDP for persuadable leftists. Little nibbles a fraction of a percent at a time can add up, and with this election likely to have a lot of close ridings, can have disproportionate impacts.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Yes, amongst undecided voters, it will have some sway

How do you know undecided Canadians won't agree with Smith and decide to vote Conservative? I'd imagine someone willing to be persuaded by her is already leaning right.

Smith is just a boogeyman. People who don't like Smith discount everything she says as nonsense unless what she's saying is beneficial to their views, then Smith is all of a sudden credible.

 

[Halifax Tar]

How do you know undecided Canadians won't agree with Smith and decide to vote Conservative? I'd imagine someone willing to be persuaded by her is already leaning right.

Smith is just a boogeyman. People who don't like Smith discount everything she says as nonsense unless what she's saying is beneficial to their views, then Smith is all of a sudden credible.

Bias is a hell of a drug.

 

[HavokFour]

I think she’s so enamoured of the U.S. and the media attention she’s getting south of the border that she’d even sell her soul. I think this will appeal only to hers and the party’s most extreme right wing supporters

To me it appears she's job hunting to start a career in right-wing media with all the time she's been spending down south, and doesn't plan on sticking around much longer as Premier.

 

[suffolkowner]

There are definitely a lot of swing voters up for grabs. LPC have the disadvantage of fighting on two fronts; competing with CPC for persuadable centrists, and with the NDP for persuadable leftists. Little nibbles a fraction of a percent at a time can add up, and with this election likely to have a lot of close ridings, can have disproportionate impacts.

NDP support seems to have rapidly melted away though.

How do you know undecided Canadians won't agree with Smith and decide to vote Conservative? I'd imagine someone willing to be persuaded by her is already leaning right.

Smith is just a boogeyman. People who don't like Smith discount everything she says as nonsense unless what she's saying is beneficial to their views, then Smith is all of a sudden credible.

Polls suggest that Trump is not very popular in Canada. Being seen to align with him is a negative IMO

 

[Maxman1]

This election, rightly or wrongly, will have as a central issue Canada’s response, and ‘standing up to’ Trump. Poilievre has mostly been doing his best to try to ignore that problem and fight the campaign he planned on in December, but that’s been denied to him.

He spoke out against Trump the same week as Doug Ford, weeks before Trudeau addressed it.

 

[ballz]

"And then, yes… he said that tariffs would result in Canada collapsing, and I think that was the wrong message to convey because it made us sound very, very weak."

I think she's bang-on here.... this error has had a domino effect....

I don't really see anything in that interview that is going to cause an issue. The interview is already 15 days old and I don't recall it ever being mentioned by anyone before, certainly not mainstream media that most Canadians might listen.

"and tried to get tariffs delayed to give him a better shot at winning an election. Liberals will likely pounce on this."

Where is that? I read the article and don't see that anywhere?

I think this election will come down to whether or not Mark Carney has the ability to learn how to play in the political sphere awfully quickly. PP and Yves Blanchette are very skilled in debates. Not sure Carney is going to fair well in a leader vs leader forum when the heat gets turned up and everyone is trying to win the debate by getting soundbites in, etc.

Carney's displays with mainstream media so far haven't been very promising - he seems to approach it as though he's a guest speaker, speaking to a sophisticated audience, and can take 5 minutes to provide a comprehensive answer, and show that he's the smartest person in the room. And he's turned to getting condescending quite quickly, which I think Canadians are pretty adverse to after having Trudeau be condescending for the last 10 years.

PP can get condescending as well, but it's a bit of a different flavour, plus Canadians are already used to it. The appeal right now seems to be that Carney seems to be more like the adult in the room, but if he's losing that advantage pretty quick I think.

It's going to be a barnburner of an election - Canadians are tuned in for what seems like the first time in recent memory.

 

[Good2Golf]

No kidding. My first reply on page 1 aged better than expected. No way I could have predicted events from the Freeland face-stabbing onwards though. The final season has really been something.

It’s like a hybrid of Game of Thrones and Yellowstone…

There are definitely a lot of swing voters up for grabs. LPC have the disadvantage of fighting on two fronts; competing with CPC for persuadable centrists, and with the NDP for persuadable leftists. Little nibbles a fraction of a percent at a time can add up, and with this election likely to have a lot of close ridings, can have disproportionate impacts.

At least the LPC does sequel and branch planning.

The CPC should consider asking DND if they could load a few staff on AOC so they do better in 2029.