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Liberal Minority Government 2021 - ????

My gut says the youth, but I know that boomers love all caps posting on FB.

Perhaps the better question is which social media venue ?
Younger people eschew FB altogether. It’s seen as a platform for ‘old people’.

My back hurts…
 
Now which group is on social media more?
People 65 and over have experience that includes memories of Canadian politics and culture going back to PET's ascent. Most of their adult lives have been dominated by Liberal governments, and notwithstanding the difficult economic decade from roughly 1975 to 1985, dominated by opportunity easily grasped. They're used to a thinner information diet based on broadcast TV and newspapers. Much of their lives they've been accustomed to only knowing what passes the establishment gatekeepers.
 
Older central and eastern folk get their news flow from Liberal funded mainstream media, where Liberal incest is incredibly pervasive. They love any reason to vote Liberal. If Carney is weaseled into power, this country has absolutely no hope.
 

Interesting gender gap in polling.

Nice work ladies... ;)


This dramatic and perhaps unprecedented movement has been focussed among women (where the Liberals now lead handily),


 

Some more movement. Almost a straight increase in popular and seat projections.

Note: this is the first time the CPC has not been at 99% chance of getting a majority. At 95% now.

While still way ahead, I’m sure the trend is worrying some CPC back room types trying to figure out their next move.
 
And this. Caution to those pinning their hopes on a "Liberal upward surge..."

 

Some more movement. Almost a straight increase in popular and seat projections.

Note: this is the first time the CPC has not been at 99% chance of getting a majority. At 95% now.

While still way ahead, I’m sure the trend is worrying some CPC back room types trying to figure out their next move.
For the first time, the bottom end of the seat projection range has dropped below clear majority as well.

This is an entirely predictable “falling off the peak” of support, and shouldn’t be a big cause for any alarm for anyway. But it does mean the CPC need to be attentive to what still works, what no longer registers, and where they should shift or pivot. It could be a couple short months or eight long ones before the election.
 
And this. Caution to those pinning their hopes on a "Liberal upward surge..."

Not really any “hope”. For a surge. But certainly cause that maybe a real choice could be in the offering. Especially for centrists.

The fact that the CPC is going to make some significant change to their approach is reason enough to assume they are worried enough to have to pivot. Better sooner than later.

If both leading parties adopt actual economic centrist policies and steer themselves more to the center, it will be a refreshing change.
 
The fact that the CPC is going to make some significant change to their approach
Warren Kinsella warned of this many months ago (long before Trudeau resigned), he said Pierre P campaign was all based on holding Trudeau accountable at the election polls and it seemed to be helping him. He then warned WHEN Trudeau walks (Warren predicted 18 months ago Trudeau would resign and not go to an election) that the CPC would have to shift their focus.

So one objective is achieved, time to lay onto a new target and carry on rapid fire, long burst. Thats all.

Warren Kinsella was Chretien's war room advisor on the campaign trail. I don't agree with everything he says but damn, I have been following him on Sun media and he has been very predictive in many of his political calls.
 
The fact that the CPC is going to make some significant change to their approach is reason enough to assume they are worried enough to have to pivot. Better sooner than later.
Add to the above, the CPC can change all their election material, pre-election ads/videos messaging with unlimited spending (they have $41.8 million) prior to the Elections Canada spending limits when election called.
 
In other news, no by-election in BC riding because it's less than 9 months before the next "scheduled" election....
... while the Team Red wana-be nominee faces some ... hurdles.
 
yet another ooof moment for the opposition

Your reaching and all your going to get is a big nothing burger. Doubt this barely tickles the news cycle.

Trudeau on the other hand was taken to court and lost for overstepping onto Provincial jurisdictions
 
in yet another ooof moment for the opposition, while the opposition leader announced his arctic strategy he gets reminded by the Premier of Nunavut that anything involving his Territory must involve his people.


The is an example of the regionalism that is a root cause of our problems.

We need to do something that's in the best interest of the country; and Premier you need to get out of the way.
 
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