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Georgia and the Russian invasions/annexations/Lebensraum (2008 & 2015)

oligarch said:
Garry Kasparov, and apparently Thucydides, forgot who the president of Russia is.

President of Russia: http://kremlin.ru/eng/articles/D_Medvedev.shtml

Puttin runs Russia, no one else.
 
Hello; Some further implications and something to watch in the coming months: Ukraine-Russia tensions rise in Crimea
Residents of Sevastopol and the rest of the Crimean Peninsula have close ties to Moscow, and analysts say Ukraine could break apart if leaders push Russia away.
By Megan K. Stack
Los Angeles Times Staff Writer

September 28, 2008

SEVASTOPOL, UKRAINE — Skimming the Black Sea aboard a military motorboat, Russian navy spokesman Igor Dygalo turned to an entourage of television cameras. "The dirty ones, those are the Ukrainian ships," he said with a light smirk. "The clean ones are Russian."

Against a backdrop of simmering tensions, Dygalo led journalists on an unusual wide-ranging visit to Russia's Black Sea Fleet this month, complete with unprecedented access to the flagship Moskva, a guided missile cruiser.

The public relations tour came just as the strategically crucial Russian base here finds itself at the epicenter of an escalating political clash.

Alarmed by Russia's recent war in Georgia, the Ukrainian government has imposed new restrictions on the Russian ships' movements, and suggested raising the rent for the fleet.

The Ukrainian president has called the surrounding Crimean Peninsula -- historically a part of Russia and still home to a majority Russian population -- the most dangerous spot in the country because of separatist sentiment.

Russia has responded with icy vows to beef up its military forces in the Black Sea, eagerly showing off to reporters the firepower aboard vessels that were used to blockade Georgia -- and to remind the world of the deep Russian roots in this restive Ukrainian region.

"The military budget will be revisited so that we can exploit these ships better and build new ships," said Dygalo, aboard the Moskva. "The attitude toward the international situation has changed, of course. We understand quite well that Russia came under pressure."

Tensions have been climbing in this sleepy port since the fighting in Georgia brought into sharp focus two clashing interests: Russia's determination to take on a greater role in the former Soviet states, and the Ukrainian government's determination to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The war in Georgia pitted a Western-friendly government against Moscow; meanwhile, Ukraine is painfully divided in loyalties to the West and Russia.

Crimea is Russian-friendly turf. Former Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev gave the peninsula to Ukraine back when the shared flag made the distinction between the two countries relatively unimportant.

Many residents of Crimea say they are Russian first, Ukrainian second. They vehemently oppose Ukraine's bid to join NATO, bristle over anti-Moscow rhetoric from national leaders and say they are embittered by government efforts to infuse Crimea with Ukrainian language and culture.

Because of Crimea's staunch pro-Russia sentiments, analysts warn that the country could break apart if politicians in Kiev continue their push toward NATO and the West.

"Most threats from Ukraine don't come from outside, but from inside," said Vladimir Kornilov, a political scientist in Kiev. "Ukraine is living on its own volcano."

Critics accuse the Black Sea Fleet of deliberately exacerbating the tension.

"All the anti-Ukrainian, pro-Russia blocs are closely tied to the Black Sea Fleet," said Miroslav Mamchak, the snowy-haired chief of a group called the Ukrainian Community of Sevastopol. "They struggle against the Ukrainian language. They support the separatists."

Mamchak is a rare voice of Ukrainian nationalism here. He says that he has received death threats, and that Russian loyalists plastered the town with his picture under the slogan, "I'm a traitor to Russia."

Black Sea Fleet officials deny any political tampering. But many Ukrainians worry that Moscow is stealthily working to stir up separatist sentiment. There have been reports that Russia has quietly begun to grant passports to some residents; Russian officials say it's not true.

Powerful Moscow Mayor Yuri M. Luzhkov, who has been banned from Ukraine for his rhetoric on Crimea, has said the region "doesn't belong" to Ukraine.

Moscow and Sevastopol have long had close ties, and the Moscow city government has built schools and apartments in the Ukrainian city. One opulent school is decorated with stained glass depictions of Moscow, and a university is affiliated with Moscow State University.

Pro-Moscow residents regard Mamchak's political organization as part of a Kiev-backed effort at "ethnocide."

Many people here complain about the mandatory teaching of the Ukrainian language in schools and its use in the media and for government paperwork. Pro-Russia leaders also accuse the Ukrainian government of slowly moving people into the region from other parts of the country and installing pro-Kiev leaders in the city government.

"Faster, faster, faster to make everybody a Ukrainian," said Raisa Telyatnikova, head of the Russian Community of Sevastopol. "They want to completely distance us from our historical motherland, Russia, and turn it into an alien state. . . . They want to change the ethnic composition and break the spirit of Sevastopol."

With its clusters of war memorials and Soviet awards from Vladimir I. Lenin still adorning the walls of the town hall, today's Sevastopol has the feel of a living monument to the U.S.S.R., or at least to the power of Moscow. Russian flags flutter throughout the city, a statue of Catherine the Great looms on the main street and Russian is heard on most every corner. Bookstores stock a paltry number of Ukrainian titles. "It's only the language of state business," one bookseller said with a shrug.

Despite the fleet's warm ties with the locals, politicians in Kiev have made it plain that the Russian navy could be asked to leave after its lease expires in 2017.

Russia, however, has other ideas. The fleet's presence here is woven into history, Russian military officials say. The ships will stay put, and multiply, they have said repeatedly.

"Nothing prevents us from building up our forces here in Ukrainian territory," said Rear Adm. Andrei Baranov, the fleet's deputy chief of staff. "The fleet will be renovated. . . . New ships will be arriving here."

On the grounds of St. Nicholas the Sanctifier Church, the bones of an estimated 60,000 Russian fighters, casualties of the Crimean War in the 19th century and World War II, lie in a vast, quiet cemetery that rolls downhill toward the sea. On the steps of the sanctuary, priests spoke of their emotional ties to generations of sailors and of their unwillingness to hoist a Ukrainian flag.

In a scene that seemed cut from tsarist times, Russian navy officials and Orthodox priests sat at a long table, knocking back shots of vodka and proclaiming emotional toasts.

"The West shuddered 150 years ago when Russia showed its sword, and the Black Sea turned red with blood," said Igor Bebin, a pink-robed priest who rose to his feet, vodka glass held high.

"That was the supreme truth. And the truth is that now, for the first time, the sword of Russia is shining again. Be afraid of the sword."

The Russians cheered, and took a deep drink.

megan.stack@latimes.com  http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-sevastopol28-2008sep28,0,4902782,print.story
 
JackD said:
"The dirty ones, those are the Ukrainian ships," he said with a light smirk. "The clean ones are Russian."

LAWL... funny because its true. But seriously, the Big Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation, and Partnership was renewed for another 10 years, with the treaty, Moscow recognizes Ukraine's borders and territorial integrity, and accepts Ukraine's sovereignty over Crimea and Sevastopol. Further, Russia doesn't need Crimea to seperate... we can already enter Crimea with our Russian passports and can freely vacation there. It's a really nice place and I'm hoping to drop by next summer!
 
oligarch said:
Says someone who's never been there.

Dear Mr Oligarch,

I've pretty much stayed off this thread, and the one SIMPLE question I asked you earlier, well never got an answer. I was not suprised.

So here is yet another SIMPLE question.

Its so obvious that you seem to have an intense passion for Russia, seeming to believe they can do no wrong, and are superior to all around them, yet I wonder why you choose to stay in Canada if you are so much in love with the perfect Russian world?

Care to respond, or will your arrogance shine through yet again.

I do hope you can find the time in such a busy world to POLITELY respond.

Thanking you in advance,

OWDU
 
If the US economy contracts by 80% the per capita GDP will be equal to that of Russia. During the depression period of 1929-33 unemployment rose from 3 to 25 percent as the nation's output fell over 25 percent and prices over 30 percent, in what has been called the Great Contraction. Adjusting spending to reflect less money and so a smaller budget might be a big change but most of the world spends less anyway. Borrowing money to fuel growth is good unless you get carried away and then the crunch comes and you regress. Borrowing money to fuel consumption is allways folly - there is no growth to offset future repayments and the crunch comes a lot faster as a result.

The US borrowed far too much to fuel both growth and consumption and now a crunch has come. How large and how long it will last is hard to tell at the moment and depends on how much the rest of the world did the same. So far growth has slowed but not gone negative but recent credit market problems seem to indicate negative growth may be coming.
 
Overwatch Downunder said:
Dear Mr Oligarch,

I've pretty much stayed off this thread, and the one SIMPLE question I asked you earlier, well never got an answer. I was not suprised.

So here is yet another SIMPLE question.

Its so obvious that you seem to have an intense passion for Russia, seeming to believe they can do no wrong, and are superior to all around them, yet I wonder why you choose to stay in Canada if you are so much in love with the perfect Russian world?

Care to respond, or will your arrogance shine through yet again.

I do hope you can find the time in such a busy world to POLITELY respond.

Thanking you in advance,

OWDU

You're welcome. I didn't answer your last question because your question was "your agenda seems to be one sided". I am surprised that you are surprised that my agenda is one sided, since pretty much everyone involved in a debate will have a one sided agenda. I can say that about many on this board supporting "the other side", like yourself. So I didn't feel the need to respond to this absurd assumption that a "one sided" agenda is somehow a wrong one, and thought it would be better for all if I just moved on.

Your second assumption, that I must live in Russia because I support the actions of this Russian government is not proper argument once again. It seems you are saying that I must live in the country who's government I support, and vice versa. What if I move to Russia and there is a change in government where, god forbid, Kasparov overthrows Putin by some undemocratic [insert colour here] revolution? Must I find another country to live in once again? Belarus? It seems to me that you are supporting your government to justify you living here. Isn't disagreement at the essence of democracy? Many on here claim that Russia is undemocratic, but when I excercise my democratic right as a Canadian to voice an opinion that's not commonplace I am bombarded by personal attacks, so where is the democracy here?

If you could not understand what I said, you could try reading the post again very carefully. I'm sure you will be able to figure it out. If you really can't and need help, you couldn't contacted me by PM and I would have been glad to write a simpler worded statement for you. However, I saw an agenda in your ... ehm... "question", and didn't feel the need to respond.

I am not arrogant by any means. If I was arrogant I would just be above such internet boards and I would not even think to try to convince people on here of anything. But when I go on this board and see things that are just plain wrong, I tend to want to state otherwise. Wouldn't anyone?

In regard to my assumption that CND Aviator has never been to Russia, I just had a feeling. However, I should not have done so, and my apologies are put forth if I came accross as offensive. Aviator, I didn't mean to sound arrogant, I just got a little agitated from hearing this unfounded point and I should've controlled my emotions better. I will try to keep the discussion focused on the argument at hand rather than let it get personal in the future. Its just that there has been so many personal attacks on me that I could not resist the temptation. Let me do this properly. Why do you think Putin is still running things?  Perhaps he still has some power, seeing as he is Prime Minister, but would you not agree that he is running different things than before? And did you mean to imply that there is something wrong with Putin continuing to run "some" things after a presidential term in the form of a Prime Minister?  Is it hence, your assertion, that after a presidential term an individual must never be in politics again?

Cheers !!!
 
oligarch said:
the Big Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation, and Partnership was renewed for another 10 years, with the treaty, Moscow recognizes Ukraine's borders and territorial integrity, and accepts Ukraine's sovereignty over Crimea and Sevastopol.

Comforting, just like the old Article 72:  "Each Union Republic shall retain the right freely to secede from the USSR"....  and yes, I know Russia isn't the USSR.
 
milnews.ca said:
Comforting, just like the old Article 72:  "Each Union Republic shall retain the right freely to secede from the USSR"....  and yes, I know Russia isn't the USSR.

Yes, so why wasn't South Ossetia and Abkhazia allowed to freely secede from the USSR?

On the issue of South Ossetia:

PACE recognizes ethnic cleansing in South Ossetia

Experts were shocked at the state of Tskhinvali

Last week, a mission of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) studied the history of the conflict in the Caucasus. Delegates visited Tbilisi and Tskhinvali and later shared their impressions at a press conference attended by local and Western journalists in the Georgian capital.

Head of the PACE mission Luke Van den Brande said he was shaken and even shocked by what he saw a ruined Tskhinvali and burned Ossetian and Georgian villages.

"There are no words to justify what happened," Van den Brande said. "However, we can’t refer to the events in Tskhinvali as a genocide. We need to be careful when using this word. What most probably went on was ethnic cleansing."

However, KP consulted several dictionaries and discovered that a genocide is nothing more than "a form of ethnic cleansing." As a result, it seems that there is no contradiction between the the two terms. Of course, it's possible that PACE doesn't trust Russian dictionaries. Everything will be clear after PACE's autumn session when Van den Brande introduces his official report.

At around the same time, the Museum of Russian Aggression will open in the Georgian town of Gori. Interestingly, the museum will be located on the second floor of the Stalin Museum. The Soviet leader certainly wouldn't have imagined such a thing possible. Experts from the Baltics and Poland will help the Georgians create the museum. And it's a well-known fact how cunningly these nations are able to bend history.

On this note, it should be mentioned that another museum has operated in Tbilisi for years now — the Museum of Soviet Occupation. It isn't especially popular among the mainstream population, but a mandatory stop for schoolchildren and Western journalists. The rumor goes that Saakashvili was behind the founding of the museum.

The icing on the cake, however, which sums up the issue quite well, was the UK Ambassador to Russia Tony Brenton’s remark yesterday openly terming Georgia's aggression against South Ossetia a "huge mistake."

http://www.kp.ru/daily/24171.5/383026/
 
If you are going to use a news article from a source of questionable impartiality (to many on this means), it might be best to relate it to what the PACE delegation actually reported.

Here are some extracts (emphasis added are mine) from the memorandum prepared by Mr Luc Van den Brande (Belgium, EPP/CD), Chairperson of the Ad hoc Committee of the Bureau of the Assembly.  The initial part of the memorandum (which I've redacted) deals with the mechanics of the committee's visit and their discussion about the causes of the outbreak of the war, which mostly boils down to "he said, he said".  There is, however, enough recrimination to go around.

The situation on the ground in Russia and Georgia in the context of the war between those countries
http://assembly.coe.int//Main.asp?link=http://assembly.coe.int/Documents/WorkingDocs/doc08/edoc11720add2.htm
The immediate aftermath of the war

12.       During our talks with the Russian authorities, the delegation made it clear that the unilateral recognition by the Russian Federation of the self-proclaimed independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia violated the principle of the territorial integrity of Georgia and is in contravention of international law and the obligations of the Russian Federation as a member state of the Council of Europe.

13.       The Russian authorities stressed that a decision not to recognise the self-proclaimed independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia would have led to strong reactions in the Northern Caucasus republics which would have had a potential destabilising effect on this volatile region of the Russian Federation. Moreover, while agreeing that Kosovo and South Ossetia are completely different and incomparable cases, the Russian authorities stressed that the recognition of Kosovo by several European countries, in their opinion, had opened a Pandora’s Box in this respect.

14.       The delegation stressed the need for all parties to fully implement the provisions of the Sarkozy cease-fire agreement which was signed by both Presidents Medvedev and Saakashvili, especially with regard to the withdrawal of troops.

15.       The delegation is seriously concerned about the issue of withdrawal of Russian troops to their pre-war positions and strengths. According to the recent negotiations between Presidents Sarkozy and Medvedev, Russian troop withdrawal from the so-called “buffer zone” is foreseen to have been completed on 1 October, after the arrival of EU monitors, although the delegation received indications that the withdrawal may only start at 10 October. However, the Russian authorities informed us that the presence of Russian troops in Abkhazia and South Ossetia is no longer part of the cease-fire agreement as the Russian authorities have recognised the independence of these two regions. According to the Russian authorities, troop presence in those two regions will now be governed by bilateral agreements. This is a matter of serious concern to the delegation, as this would be in clear violation of the cease-fire agreement.

16.       The recognition by Russia of the independence of these two regions also complicates the provision of humanitarian aid as well as monitoring of the implementation of the cease-fire agreement by independent monitors. International organisations are refused entry to South Ossetia via Georgia proper, while EU and OSCE monitors are prevented from entering South Ossetia and Abkhazia at all.

17.       Several interlocutors informed the delegation they feared that various forms of provocation could be used to justify a prolonged presence of Russian troops in the “buffer zone”, which could lead to increased tensions.

Humanitarian and Human Rights concerns

18.       The visit to the villages in the “buffer zone” and South Ossetia made clear the extent of the human rights violations in these areas. The delegation saw evidence of large-scale looting and destruction of property and heard accounts of assaults and robberies. According to the Georgian villagers the delegation spoke to, the looting and destruction of houses started mostly after the cease-fire agreement was signed on 12 August and is continuing unabated to this day. While the looting, assaults and destruction of property take place mostly during the night, we were informed that they also occur during the day.

19.       When asked, the Georgian villagers indicated that these crimes were committed by South Ossetian irregular troops and gangs but also by so-called volunteers from the Northern Caucasus. Russian troops were not reported to have been involved in the looting and burning themselves, but allegedly had done nothing to stop these practices, often turning a blind eye. These accounts were confirmed by independent reports from Russian human rights organisations who had been present in South Ossetia both during and after the outbreak of hostilities.

20.       The delegation was informed by international humanitarian and relief organisations, as well as human rights organisations and the diplomatic community in Georgia, about systematic acts of ethnic cleansing of Georgian villages in South Ossetia by South Ossetian irregular troops and gangs. This pattern seemed to be confirmed by the visit of the delegation to the Georgian village of Ksuisi in South Ossetia, which had been completely looted and virtually destroyed. The delegation received reports that, in some cases, entire villages have been bulldozed over and razed.

21.       The delegation is seriously concerned about these reports of ethnic cleansing, as well as of the looting and destruction of property it saw during its visit. The delegation stressed that the Russian Federation, under international law, bears full responsibility for any crimes and human rights violations committed on the territories that are under its effective control.

22.       During our visit to Tskhinvali, the delegation saw several residential areas, as well as public buildings, that had been completely destroyed by indiscriminate shelling by Georgian troops in the initial phases of the war, as well as in the course of subsequent battles between Georgian and Russian troops over the city. The delegation stressed that the use of indiscriminate force and weapons in civilian areas can be considered a war crime and called for a full investigation in order to establish the facts in this respect.

23.       The number of deaths as a result of the conflict is a matter of controversy, although all sides agree that the initial high numbers were inflated. Independent reports put the total number of deaths at between 300 and 400, including the military. However, it should be stressed that even one victim is a victim too many.

24.       In the initial phases of the conflict, around 35.000 to 40.000 South Ossetian refugees were recorded in North Ossetia. All interlocutors highlighted the efficient manner in which this refugee stream was managed by the Russian authorities. Most of these refugees have now returned to their place of residence, while an estimated 2.000 remain in North Ossetia with their families.

25.       According to different sources, the conflict initially led to 130.000 IDPs in Georgia, of which 60.000 currently remain. Another 29.000 are expected to be able to return when Russian troops have withdrawn from the so-called “buffer zone” and security for the population has been re-established. A total of 31.000 IDPs (25.000 from South Ossetia and 6.000 from Abkhazia) are considered to be “permanently” unable to return to their original place of residence. These numbers should be seen in the context of the approximately 300.000 already existing IDPs from these areas as a result of the 1992 conflict.

26.       The humanitarian situation is further exacerbated by the uncertainty regarding the “buffer zone”. The current serious security vacuum needs to be urgently addressed but there seem to be conflicting views regarding the role of the EU Monitors and Georgian police forces. While the EU is sending strictly civilian monitors to observe the security situation, and considers it to be the role of the Georgian law enforcement forces to provide security to the population in that area, the Russian authorities seem to be of the view that civilian protection will be also the responsibility of the EU Monitors and have reservations about the idea of armed Georgian police in this area. This issue needs to be urgently resolved to avoid an even further decline of security in this area.

Conclusions

27.       The delegation is extremely concerned that two member states of the Council of Europe, who committed themselves to resolve all conflicts, including old ones, by peaceful means, did not live up to this commitment. This can not be tolerated and both countries share responsibilities for escalating this conflict into war. Taking into account the complexity of the situation, the diametrically opposed views of the parties in the conflict, the mutually exclusive national public discourses, the negation by both states of any share of responsibility, as well as the short time that the delegation had at its disposal, it is impossible for the delegation to establish all the facts regarding the exact sequence of events on 7 and 8 August, as well as the circumstances that led to them, which are necessary to draw precise conclusions. The exact facts, as well as the precise responsibility of each of the parties in this conflict, including the outbreak of the war, can only be properly established in the framework of a thorough and independent international investigation as suggested in point 11 in this memorandum. Truth is a prerequisite for reconciliation. This is of utmost importance as similar conflicts exist in other parts of this geographical region and it must be made clear that, for the Council of Europe or its Assembly, it can not be acceptable that such conflicts escalate into war.

28.       It is clear that both sides did not do enough to prevent the war and that grave human rights violations were committed and continue to be committed up to this day. There can be no impunity for such violations and for alleged ethnic cleansing. The Council of Europe has an important role to play in this respect. All alleged human rights violations should be investigated and perpetrators held to account before the courts. In this respect, it is clear that the Russian Federation bears full responsibility for the protection of civilians in the territories that are under its effective control and therefore for the crimes and human rights violations committed against them. The use of indiscriminate force and weapons by both Georgian and Russian troops in civilian areas can be considered war crimes that need to be fully investigated.

29.        While it is beyond the scope of this memorandum to discuss the possible action the Assembly should take, it is clear that it can not be business as usual. At the same time, there is a need to maintain the dialogue with, and between, both countries in the conflict.

30.       It is my firm conviction that the Assembly has an important role to play in resolving the current situation. Following the debate in the Assembly, the Bureau might consider sending a follow-up mission to the region, possibly in different format and composition, in the not too distant future.

And this from a previous mission report.

http://assembly.coe.int//Main.asp?link=http://assembly.coe.int/Documents/WorkingDocs/doc08/edoc11720.htm
7.      Whatever the circumstances that led to the armed intervention in the South–Ossetian region, nothing can justify the disproportionate military force used by the Russian Federation in response. This disproportionate use of force is incompatible with the principles and role of peace keeping and made Russia a de facto party in the conflict. Furthermore, the military action by Russian troops far outside the conflict zone – including the bombing of Poti, a major Georgian harbour situated several hundreds of kilometres from South Ossetia – and the occupation of a significant part of Georgia’s territory by the Russian federation, in clear violation of Georgia’s territorial integrity, is both unacceptable and unjustifiable.

8.       In this context, we are especially concerned by the wanton destruction of the Georgian economic infrastructure by the Russian military. During our stay, Russian troops reoccupied Poti and destroyed a large part of its harbour infrastructure, including in the civilian port. Moreover, we received credible reports from members of the international community that train lines and bridges were being mined or destroyed and that attacks had taken place against the oil pipeline that runs from Azerbaijan to Turkey through Georgia (the BTC pipeline).

9.       There is no military justification for the destruction of the economic infrastructure of Georgia. Taken into account the openly admitted goal of the Russian authorities to change the democratically elected regime in Tbilisi, it can only be seen as a direct attack against Georgia’s sovereignty, in contradiction of international norms and principles and clearly in violation of Russia’s commitments to the Council of Europe.



 
Blackadder1916 said:
If you are going to use a news article from a source of questionable impartiality (to many on this means), it might be best to relate it to what the PACE delegation actually reported.

I posted an article and the source, if you want to do your own research, you have all the resources you need. I just used google news scanner for "South Ossetia, PACE".

If everyone had to do a lot of analysis on news from a source of questionable impartiality, then I condend that many would have to redraft their post of BBC and CNN articles.
For more on media impartiality, see this book: http://www.amazon.com/Manufacturing-Consent-Political-Economy-Media/dp/0375714499
 
Looking north a bit....

North Ossetia police chief shot dead
RIA Novosti, 1 Oct 08
Article link
The head of the criminal investigation department in Russia's Caucasus republic of North Ossetia has been shot dead, the republic's investigations committee said on Wednesday.  The statement said unknown assailants opened fire on police chief Cheldiyev's car on Wednesday morning on the outskirts of the republic's capital, Vladikavkaz.  His son was also killed in the attack.  No further details are currently available.


Ringleader of ''CID of MIA of North Ossetia'' eliminated
Kavkazcenter.com (known to post Chechen propaganda), 1 Oct 08
Article link
The ringleader of "Criminal Investigation Department of North Ossetia's Ministry of Internal Affairs" Cheldiyev and his have been eliminated in Vladikavkaz, sources reported on Wednesday.  Ringleader's car has come under fire from automatic weapons on the outskirts of Vladikavkaz.  The scene of attack is sealed off within a radius of several kilometers, local sources said.  After a while, burned car was found in which, presumably, were the saboteurs.  According to official of the puppet gang of "Ministry of Internal Affairs", a "Zhiguli" car of 9th model, was found in the same area where a successful operation to eliminate the ringleader of "CID" had been conducted.  Local sources reported that Cheldiyev was transferred from a gang of "UBOP (Department for Combating Organized Crime)" about two months ago, where he led one of the bloodiest terrorist groups.  It is possible that eliminated criminal has been related to the so-called "death squads", which involved in abductions and killings of residents of the Province of Ghalghaycho (Ingushetia) of the Caucasus Emirate ....

More on link

 
this seems to be the place to watch now - especially with the break-up of the col lition governing the Ukraine right now:

CRIMEAN POWER STRUGGLE
Russia and Ukraine Jockey in the Black Sea
By Walter Mayr

The naval fleets of Russia and Ukraine share the port at Sevastopol on the Crimean Peninsula. Some in Russia would like the Ukrainian city to return to the Russian fold. Many fear that a spark here could quickly lead to a larger conflagration.

It is early morning deep inside the missile cruiser Moskva, where the heat and the stench of diesel fuel are the most oppressive, as the lower ranks emerge from their five-bed cabins. Below decks, the flagship of the Russian Black Sea fleet feels like a prison tract with cell walls made of gray-painted steel.

The sailors march up the stairs for morning roll call. At 7:43 a.m. sharp, officers and seamen stand at attention on the upper deck, in rows three deep, between cigar-shaped missile shafts and launching pads for anti-aircraft missiles, while the division commander inspects the formation. "We salute the Comrade Rear Admiral," the troops shout. The commanding officer replies: "At ease."

Here on Quay 14 in Sevastopol's Holland Harbor, the Russian navy is ready for battle once again, at least judging by what Rear Admiral Andrei Baranov, the deputy commander of the Russian Black Sea fleet, has to say. The recent operation in Georgian waters was a brief act of "self-defense," says Baranov, adding that additional combat missions are not on the agenda at this point. Nevertheless, he is quick to add, the Black Sea has undoubtedly become a "hot spot", and "we are, of course, obligated to protect our citizens in case of emergency."

The rear admiral chooses precisely the same words Moscow used to justify its August combat operations in Georgia. According to the Russians, citizens in the separatist regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, who had been issued Russian passports beforehand, required "protection" against Georgian aggression. But in the port city of Sevastopol, on Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula, the situation is more complex. Close to three-quarters of the city's residents and about half of the Crimean population are ethnic Russians, but most are Ukrainian citizens.

Facilitating Naturalization

Rumors have been swirling in the Crimea that Russian passports are being issued on a grand scale. The chairwoman of the "Russian Community" in Sevastopol thinks there could be as many as 50,000 Russian citizens in the city, a figure that officials at the Russian consulate deny. Last Monday, the upper house of the Russian parliament complicated matters even further when it adopted legislation facilitating the naturalization of ethnic Russian citizens of other countries, of which there are up to eight million in Ukraine alone.

Sevastopol, a naval base for 14,000 members of the Russian Black Sea fleet, is already a Moscow enclave of sorts, a sharp thorn in the side of Ukraine, an independent country since 1991. The city became Russian under Czarina Catherine II, and it remained that way until Soviet Communist Party leader Nikita Khrushchev, in the context of an exchange of territory, awarded the entire Crimea to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic in 1954 as a "gift." When the Black Sea fleet was split apart in 1997, Sevastopol became home to both a Russian and a Ukrainian naval unit. The Russian lease expires in May 2017.

Tension between the two countries has been high, though speculation that the Russian-Ukraine treaty on friendship -- which guarantees the current borders between the two countries and peaceful coexistence -- proved unfounded. The treaty was extended for another 10 years this week.

In the run up to the decision, however, many had thought new conditions would be introduced into the pact or that the treaty would be cancelled altogether. "If we lose Sevastopol, we lose the entire Caucasus," said Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov, who wants the treaty jettisoned and the port city brought back into the Russian fold. As a mouthpiece of militancy and a sponsor of the Russian diaspora in the Crimea, Luzhkov has served as the Kremlin's watchdog for years. Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko, on the other hand, weakened by the renewed collapse of his governing coalition, has made it clear that he prefers to see the Russian navy leave his country sooner rather than later.

From on board the Moskva, it is easy to recognize why. A tiny spark in the harbor of Sevastopol could result in a much larger political conflagration. Ash-gray steel colossuses flying the Russian and Ukrainian flags are docked next to each other, the Alrosa, a Russian submarine, bobs nearby and, in the middle of it all, there is the visiting USNS Pathfinder, an American naval reconnaissance ship.

Expensive Evaporated Milk

For the Russians in Sevastopol, the US Navy's claim that the ship is here to search for World War II wrecks on the Black Sea floor is difficult to believe -- as are other US Navy claims. A Russian captain on board the Moskva says derisively: "The Americans are supposedly bringing evaporated milk to Georgia with their warships. That would be the world's most expensive evaporated milk."

NATO ships at anchor in the harbor of Sevastopol, the "City of Heroes," trigger old reflexes among those Russians who have always seen themselves as surrounded by their enemies. In pro-Moscow newspapers on the peninsula, Cossack groups and the backrooms of political incendiaries, there has recently been talk of an upcoming "third defense" of the city. After heroic losses in the 19th-century Crimean War and later against Nazi Germany, the Crimea's ethnic Russians now see themselves about to embark on a new form of defensive action: against the political leadership in Ukraine, which is seeking to join the NATO alliance.

When it comes to the Crimea and Sevastopol, the Russians believe that it is their mission to save more than just a fleet base, but also a miniature version of Russia. The seaside city is graced with cedar and acacia trees, a bronze statue of Lenin in front of the St. Vladimir Cathedral, elegant officers' clubs, nightly skating exhibitions featuring long-legged beauties on the piers and Russian pop music under a starry sky.

"The Crimea was everything that Russia was not: the south and freedom, a foreign place on the territory of the Russian empire," writes Karl Schlögel, an expert on Russia and Eastern Europe. The Crimea, a refuge for the aristocracy since the days of czars and dubbed the "red Riviera" during the Soviet era, occupies a fixed place in the collective Russian memory, he says. "Dream landscapes are more stable than countries, and the maps in people's heads continue to exist long after new borders have been drawn," says Schlögel.

'No Peaceful Solution'

The borders in favor of Ukraine were drawn here decades ago. But the voices that insist on Russia having an inalienable right to the Crimea are only beginning to grow today. Is it true, then, as Ukrainian government politicians claim, that a repeat of the bloody "Georgian scenario" could take place on Crimean soil?

"There can be no peaceful solution. But the price of a forceful disengagement of the Crimea from Ukraine would be high: War against a sister nation," says a thin Russian officer who has agreed to meet in a discreet outdoor restaurant in Sevastopol. The man, who wishes to be called Viktor Kalugin, for his own protection, is familiar with the combat readiness of his country's military. He was on the ship that sank the Georgi Toreli, a Georgian coast guard vessel, off the coast of Abkhazia on the evening of Aug. 9.


The Russian Flag for the Crimea?


"War is war, and an officer must execute the commands he is given," says Kalugin -- even when his men are marching against a former sister nation, as in the case of Georgia. "We didn't even know where we were going when we received our orders to deploy" says Kalugin. "We tried to keep up with the events by watching the news on television. But there was poor reception on the water. Even our commander knew nothing."

Would Kalugin be as obedient a soldier if he were fighting Russia's Ukrainian neighbors? He prefers not to think about it. He has served in the navy since the latter days of the Soviet era, and he has gone to wherever he was sent. He still drinks vodka with former colleagues who are now serving with the Ukrainian Black Sea fleet, but they never discuss politics. Kalugin, a high-ranking naval officer, has a fervent wish, which he keeps to himself on those evenings spent with the Ukrainians: That the Russian flag will soon fly "over, not just Sevastopol, but the entire Crimea."

In Sevastopol, just as in many once-closed cities of the vast former Soviet Union, some things have remained unchanged. Dubbed the "last bastion" while under Soviet control, and so strictly shielded that it was off-limits to foreigners until 1996, Sevastopol is a place where paranoia and xenophobic propaganda flourish like seedlings in a greenhouse. The toxic seeds planted by both sides since the 2004 Ukrainian revolution and Kiev's change of course have finally borne fruit.

Nightly Vigils

The port city's newspapers, with names like Last Bastion and Legendary Sevastopol, are increasingly filled with alarming reports of a near-collision between the missile cruiser Moskva and a Ukrainian naval vessel in Sevastopol Bay, Russian activists protesting at one of the city's breakwaters, clashes with the police, the destruction of a plaque commemorating the first warship to sail under the Ukrainian flag, protests by Ukrainians against a new memorial to Czarina Catherine II on Lenin Street and subsequent nightly vigils by Russian volunteers at the site.

After 1991, centuries of common history were shattered and the wreckage reassembled. The image that resulted on the one side is dominated by primarily Ukrainian-speaking freedom fighters, military commanders and poets. But there is mounting anger on the other side, among the once-dominant Russians: over issues like the removal of Russian stations from the cable TV lineup, university lectures in Ukrainian and schoolbooks in which, more recently, Russian literature is subsumed into "world literature."

The center of Russian resistance is in a building on Nakhimov Square, where the Russian writer Leo Tolstoy once lived. The building, known as the "Moscow House," is the hub of a network designed to help local Russians feel at home in Sevastopol, with projects such as a school featuring a Russian lesson plan, a branch of Moscow's Lomonosov University and the construction of 2,000 comfortable apartments for officers.

The money for the projects comes from the budget of Moscow Mayor Luzhkov, who has been barred from entering Ukraine since May because of his inflammatory rhetoric. But for the Russians in Sevastopol, Luzhkov is a hero. Not only is he responsible for providing them with schools, lecture halls and apartments, but he also makes it unmistakably clear that the Ukrainians should not expect a Russian withdrawal, be it in "2017 or 3017," as Luzhkov says derisively.

A 'Single Nation'

Similar views are held in the Sevastopol city parliament, which is dominated by the supporters of former Ukrainian Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich, communists and radicals from the "Russian bloc." The national chairman of the "bloc," Alexander Svistunov, happens to be visiting Sevastopol, and made himself available to answer questions.

As he sits there, evoking a peaceful future for the Crimea while at the same time explaining why things will probably turn out differently, Svistunov is the prototypical troublemaker feigning innocence. Unfortunately -- yes, unfortunately -- he says, the mood among the people in Sevastopol is similar to that of the Abkhazians and South Ossetians before war erupted in Georgia. The "tragic historical mistake" of awarding all of the Crimea to Ukraine threatens to come back to haunt the city, he says. Naturally, he adds, this is no reason for him and his people to unleash a war, but Sevastopol can certainly expect a "hot autumn."

Is he saying that there is no peaceful solution? Oh, of course there is, says Svistunov, explaining that Russia's Ukrainian and Belarusian brothers should simply come to terms with Moscow so that they can be brought back into the Russian fold. "Why risk yet another historic tragedy when the real issue is that we all belong to one single nation?"

Svistunov, along with almost 90 percent of the parliament of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, recently voted for a resolution calling upon the pro-Western Ukrainian government to recognize the separatist republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia -- a proposal with no prospect of succeeding. But it was yet another pinprick designed to generate headlines. Another was the threat, disguised as a call for help, by the deputy speaker of the Crimean parliament, who said: "We note with concern that we now face times no less dramatic than during the Crimean War, a century-and-a-half ago." Once again Europe, the deputy speaker added, has "gone to war with Russia."

Language of Power

"And," Miroslav Mamchak asks, smiling, "what was the outcome of that war? Russia lost, and Sevastopol fell. All enemies that have ever come here have captured the city -- that is the bitter truth about this city of heroes."

A retired sea captain in the Black Sea fleet, Mamchak was one of the first to swear an oath of allegiance to the Ukrainian flag, in 1992. Today he is one of the few who fearlessly expresses something that ought to be legally indisputable: that the port city is an inalienable part of Ukrainian territory and that the presence of the Russian fleet is contractually limited until 2017.

Mamchak, who is also the chairman of the "Ukrainian Society" and general manager of "Briz," a military radio station, has come under heavy fire from Russians in the city. He is caricatured on posters as an SS officer and fascist with a Hitler moustache, and, as he says, the words "Get out of Sevastopol" were scrawled onto the walls of his house. But Mamchak insists that he will not be forced to his knees by "criminals" and "mentally ill" warmongers.

The sorely afflicted city of heroes, says Mamchak, urgently needs a civilian concept for the future. "We currently have 100 meters (328 feet) of quay for warships, but only 90 meters (295 feet) for cruise ships. That has to change," he says. Mamchak's vision of a Sevastopol of the future includes tourists instead of torpedoes in the city's harbors, and "Ukrainian culture" instead of post-Soviet hero worship.

And how is this to be achieved against Moscow's wishes? Quite simply, says Mamchak: "Ukraine desperately needs to become part of NATO. Or re-obtain nuclear weapons. There is only one thing Russians understand: the language of power."

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,582092-2,00.html



 
Economic fallout for Russia could become even worse as the fallout from the conflict in Georgia deters investors, while the effects of market intervention "by decree" can only be guessed at.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/02/europe/russia.php

Russia sees in credit crisis end of U.S. domination
By Andrew E. Kramer
Thursday, October 2, 2008

MOSCOW: The Russian president said in a speech Thursday that the financial crisis in the United States should be taken as a sign that America's global economic leadership is drawing to a close, reiterating an argument that leaders here have been making for some time, though investors in recent weeks have been fleeing Russia and depositing money in U.S. Treasury bills.

Perhaps inevitably for a country long lectured to by the United States, Russia is using the occasion of the U.S. financial crisis to do some lecturing of its own.

President Dmitri Medvedev said Thursday that the U.S. crisis showed that "the times when one economy and one country dominated are gone for good." Speaking of the United States, Medvedev said the world no longer needed a "megaregulator."

Russia has argued that the freewheeling Anglo-American style of capitalism is to blame for the crisis, a position echoed by Germany and other Continental European nations. Medvedev even called it financial "egoism."

A drumbeat of similar pronouncements has been heard in Russia in recent days. Prime Minister Vladimir Putin made a major speech Wednesday on U.S. financial "irresponsibility," blaming the plunge of more than 50 percent in the Russian stock market on the global economic slowdown and U.S. financial turmoil, rather than on any troubles endemic to Russia.

"The saddest thing is that we can see an inability to take appropriate decisions," Putin said in his speech after the U.S. House of Representatives rejected the Bush administration's bailout plan. In contrast, the Russian bailout was decided by decree.

"This is not the irresponsibility of some people but the irresponsibility of the system, which, as it is known, claimed to be the leader," Putin said.

Medvedev spoke Thursday at St. Petersburg State University during the eighth annual Petersburger Dialog, a forum devoted to developing relations with Germany and where he met with Chancellor Angela Merkel. Members of Merkel's government have also been critical of U.S. regulators.

Germany will "always support a multilateral approach" to market regulation, Merkel said, adding that officials from the European members of the Group of 8 industrialized nations would meet to discuss new market regulations, Bloomberg News reported.

But in contrast with other European countries Russia's own financial system has been in steep decline over the past weeks, and regulators suspended stock trading three times. As in other emerging markets during periods of turmoil, investors have had a tendency to pull money out of Russia and to deposit it in U.S. Treasury bills.

Since the second week in August, when the war in Georgia and political tension with the West heightened concerns about stability in Russia, $52 billion in net private capital has left Russia, according to an investor note from Goldman Sachs.

Russia has promised a total of about $150 billion for loans to banks, tax cuts and other measures. The moves seek to stimulate the economy, restore liquidity to the banking sector and return confidence in the stock market.

Still, the global credit crisis could trim about 1 percent from Russian growth next year, according to Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin.
 
Russian troops start dismantling Georgia posts
By SOPHIKO MEGRILIDZE, Associated Press Writer  October 5, 2008

NADARBAZEVI, Georgia - Russian troops on Sunday began dismantling positions in the so-called security zones inside Georgia that they have occupied since August's war, Georgian and EU officials said, a sign Russia will fulfill its pledged pullback.

Moscow faces a Friday deadline for pulling back its troops under the terms of a deal brokered by French President Nicolas Sarkozy on behalf of the European Union. Hundreds of EU observers began monitoring Russia's compliance last week.

A pullback would likely mean at least a mild reduction of tensions between Russia and the West following their worst confrontation since the Soviet collapse. But substantial points of dispute remain.

Russia was dismantling positions Sunday inside what it calls security zones, extending roughly four miles inside uncontested Georgian territory.

But Moscow vows to keep thousands of its troops stationed in two separatist Georgian regions that it recognizes as independent countries — South Ossetia and Abkhazia — which appears to stretch the terms of the cease-fire and which the Georgian government denounces.

Tensions also rose sharply on Friday when a car bomb killed nine people when it exploded outside Russian forces' headquarters in Tskhinvali, the capital of South Ossetia.

South Ossetian President Eduard Kokoity on Sunday said investigators had found demonstrable "Georgian traces" in the explosion and said security would be tightened by reducing the number of crossing points from Georgia into the republic to two, the Interfax news agency reported.

South Ossetian officials previously alleged that Georgian special services were behind the bombing, aiming to undermine the cease-fire.

The war began Aug. 7 when Georgian troops launched an offensive to regain control of South Ossetia, one of two Georgian separatist regions where Russia has troops stationed as peacekeepers.

Russia sent a large force that quickly routed the Georgian military and pushed deep into the former Soviet republic, occupying large swaths. Russia then declared what it called a security zone roughly four miles deep inside Georgia south of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.

In late August, Russian troops mostly pulled back to those so-called security zones and last month they pulled out of some more positions, including six checkpoints and temporary bases in and near the Black Sea port of Poti.

The Russian presence in Poti had been particularly galling for Georgia because it is hundreds of miles from South Ossetia, where the war broke out and where most of the fighting occurred. And the occupation of uncontested Georgian territory has deeply strained relations between Moscow and the West.

The EU-brokered agreement now obliges Russia to pull its troops out of the security zones by Friday. It also calls for both sides to return troops to the positions they held before the fighting broke out — but Russia's announced plan to keep some 8,000 troops in the regions well exceeds the number reportedly there before the fighting began.

Russia recognized the independence of both regions after the fighting. So far, only Nicaragua and the Hamas government in Gaza have followed suit with recognition.

On Sunday, troops lowered the flag at a Russian base in Nadarbazevi, about 30 miles northwest of the capital, Tbilisi. Georgian Interior Ministry spokesman Shota Utiashvili described that position as a "communications center" and said Russia had promised to leave it completely on Monday.

Utiashvili also said a checkpoint was dismantled Sunday in Ali — also called Nabakhtevi — in the zone around South Ossetia. And Russian forces were leaving another position in Zugdidi, within the zone south of Abkhazia, Utiashvili said.

"We have to see how it ends, but so far this is a good sign," Utiashvili said.

Hansjorg Haber, the head of the EU monitoring mission, said his observers confirmed the dismantling.

Georgian and EU officials could not immediately clarify how many Russian positions in total would have to be dismantled to meet the agreement's terms. After the war, Russia said it would set up a total of 36 checkpoints in the security zones — 18 in each.

Also Sunday, a Russian construction worker was killed on the outskirts of Tskhinvali by gunfire that came from the village of Nikozi, which had been under control of Georgian police until the war, the ITAR-Tass news agency said. It quoted South Ossetian Interior Minister Mikhail Mindzayev as saying the shooting is being investigated.
___

Associated Press writers Matt Siegel in Tbilisi, Georgia and Jim Heintz in Moscow contributed to this report.
 
E.R. Campbell said:
Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act from today’s National Post and Globe and Mail respectively, are two articles that I find interesting:

http://www.nationalpost.com/opinion/story.html?id=721453

and​


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080814.wcogeorgia14/BNStory/specialComment/home

I agree with Fred Kaplan’s three lessons for the next president and, broadly, with his three prescriptive recommendations but I would add one more: the American led West must, simultaneously, isolate Russia – unceremoniously kick it out of the G8 and refuse to allow it in to the WTO – and, and this is especially for the European members of NATO, restore enough military power in Europe to deter Russia. The Russian leaders are and are likely to remain thugs and bullies – they understand brute force. If they cannot be guaranteed of administering an easy defeat on their enemies then they will cower in fear, and that’s the posture in which we want them.

I think Glenny is wrong. We do not need “a touch of diplomatic sobriety on both sides ... [because ] the Georgian conflict is a very dangerous new phase in the development of global politics - serial confrontation between the West and Russia.”

Russia has chosen the path of confrontation. Even as one understands their frustration, even fear, it is impossible to put their thuggish policies – first in baiting Georgia and then in their ’disproportionate’ military response – in any light except confrontation. That, it appears to me, is what Putin intended. I say let him have it, with all its implications. America is, slowly but surely, reducing its dangerous reliance on Middle Eastern oil – relying, instead, on Western hemisphere, especially Canadian, oil. Europe and Japan can meet their needs from the Middle East – they don’t need Russian oil, even though it is closer. China will need Russia’s oil – the only question is how it will take it.

The good news, from my radio, is that NATO has blocked a Russian warship from joining the ongoing NATO Active Endeavour exercises in the Mediterranean and the FRUKUS exercises in the Sea of Japan have been called off. It's a start.


Notice it’s only the G7 when something really important needs to be done.

G8? Anyone? Russia, Bueller, anyone?

 
Well.  It is one way to get a "Hospitality Suite" at the next G8 if Russia doesn't show.    ;D
 
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