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Trump administration 2024-2028

Ok just to make you happy as you obviously didn't like the joke.

  • 55.4 (2) If, following the laying before Parliament of any actuarial valuation report pursuant to section 56 that relates to the state of the Canadian Forces Pension Fund, there is, in the President of the Treasury Board’s opinion, a non-permitted surplus in that Fund,

    • (b) there may be paid out of the Canadian Forces Pension Fund, and into the Consolidated Revenue Fund, the amount, at the time and in the manner, that the Treasury Board determines on the recommendation of the President of the Treasury Board after consultation with the Minister.
Thinking TB's opinion could be influenced to determine at 11% it is a non-permitted surplus and transfer from the pension. They are already doing it to the public service at supposedly $1.9 billion. Federal pension plan: Anand must restore fairness to federal government workers

and should we all pretend it didn't happen before Public service employees not entitled to $28-billion pension repayment, court rules
The government is on the hook to make up shortfalls, so I have no issue with them reaping the benefits of good management. I'm the employee rep on our DB plan (Crown Corp, so managed pretty much the same as PS and CAF), and I can attest that the calculations used to declare a surplus are extremely conservative, and include huge amounts of contingency. Our plan, for example, recently achieved 103%, but the reality is it's more like 112%, because calculations on rates of return and so called black swan events are ridiculously conservative. The economy of the world would have to collapse completely before those pension funds slipped to a point where they could no longer cover obligations, and, as I said above, the government would still need to cover those obligations. So, I have no issues with the government using surpluses (though I would like to see them applied to deficits, not frivolous sh*t), and don't feel as if I deserve to have access to that money. I know what I signed up for, and as long as I get what I am owed, I'm happy. The idea that surpluses somehow belong to the employees is laughable union nonsense.
 
Newsweek says you can tune in to see what POTUS47 is going to tell the WEF starting at 1100 Eastern/0800 Pacific/noon Atlantic/1230 NL at the WEF's YT channel
🍿

Cool stuff.

Not just Drill Baby Drill but Burn Baby Burn.

Doubling the annual energy output of the US to supply the AI economy. That means burning anything the US has available. Including coal....

Also calling for driving down the price of oil, ostensibly to shut down the Ukraine war by stifling the Russian economy.

...

There goes the neighbourhood.

...

Energy is not so much a valuable commodity as a feedstock. The cheapest energy wins the manufacturing race.

...

Question for Ontario

11-13.5 cents per kWh

Ontario pays 11-13.5 cents per kWh for wind power. The average price in the U.S. is 7 cents. The average price for Ontario nuclear, water and gas is 7 cents. Ontario is the only province/state that charges HST, delivery, and regulatory fees on electricity.

7 cents per kWh equates to $20 per GJ

As noted elsewhere

Natural Gas and Coal are available in Alberta for $2 per GJ, call it $6-8 per GJ for electricity with 2 to 3 free GJ of heat. And the Carbon is still recoverable for further processing.
 
The government is on the hook to make up shortfalls, so I have no issue with them reaping the benefits of good management. I'm the employee rep on our DB plan (Crown Corp, so managed pretty much the same as PS and CAF), and I can attest that the calculations used to declare a surplus are extremely conservative, and include huge amounts of contingency. Our plan, for example, recently achieved 103%, but the reality is it's more like 112%, because calculations on rates of return and so called black swan events are ridiculously conservative. The economy of the world would have to collapse completely before those pension funds slipped to a point where they could no longer cover obligations, and, as I said above, the government would still need to cover those obligations. So, I have no issues with the government using surpluses (though I would like to see them applied to deficits, not frivolous sh*t), and don't feel as if I deserve to have access to that money. I know what I signed up for, and as long as I get what I am owed, I'm happy. The idea that surpluses somehow belong to the employees is laughable union nonsense.
The only issue was that after this they said we had to start paying more into it. Can't recall now if there was anything substantial to it but do remember people took it that the money was there, they took it away, the fund is now short so we have to pay more in to sustain it. People certainly were not happy.

Question for Ontario

7 cents per kWh equates to $20 per GJ

As noted elsewhere

Natural Gas and Coal are available in Alberta for $2 per GJ, call it $6-8 per GJ for electricity with 2 to 3 free GJ of heat. And the Carbon is still recoverable for further processing.
Rub it in
 
Newsweek says you can tune in to see what POTUS47 is going to tell the WEF starting at 1100 Eastern/0800 Pacific/noon Atlantic/1230 NL at the WEF's YT channel
🍿
For the record, and for any nit-pickers out there, POTUS47's info-machine's text (including Q&A material) ...
... and the WEF's AI-generated transcript of just the comments. Both also attached in case links don't work.
 

Attachments

Why would he need an amendment when it already reads what he says? If others have problems with that they can submit an amendment. He didn't sign away anything, he reinforced it. In know, all interpretation. Prior governments interpreted it one way, the current another. Like always people can request amendment to clarify or challenge in court. Personally I think amendment would be best as the court today may not be the same one 10 years down the road.
No, he's putting an interpretation on what it says. Unless there is a precedent ruling that says that illegal immigrants are not subject to the jurisdiction of the US (and there might be, IDK), I don't think it is true what the EO claims. Off the top of my head, the only people "not subject to the jurisdiction of the United States" are foreign diplomatic personnel and foreign military plus their families. There may be other groups. If a person in the US illegally commits a crime, do you not think they are subject to US law?

In a sense, you may be right that, if his position is ultimately endorsed by SCOTUS, then he doesn't need an amendment.

It seems a federal court judge has already blocked it temporarily, and 22 states have started actions against it. Not that he will care. His base will be happy and the deep state stands in his way.

 
No, he's putting an interpretation on what it says. Unless there is a precedent ruling that says that illegal immigrants are not subject to the jurisdiction of the US (and there might be, IDK), I don't think it is true what the EO claims. Off the top of my head, the only people "not subject to the jurisdiction of the United States" are foreign diplomatic personnel and foreign military plus their families. There may be other groups. If a person in the US illegally commits a crime, do you not think they are subject to US law?
The dispute is going to turn on the meaning of "subject to the jurisdiction". Pretty much everyone understands that they are subject to the laws of countries while they are visiting, but do not expect the right to vote or claim citizenship. If the liberal interpretation has to amount to permitting birth tourism, it will probably not prevail.
 
The only issue was that after this they said we had to start paying more into it. Can't recall now if there was anything substantial to it but do remember people took it that the money was there, they took it away, the fund is now short so we have to pay more in to sustain it. People certainly were not happy.


Rub it in
The majority of the actuarial surplus withdrawn from the accounts has been restored over time. The last three OSFI reports for the PSSA saw over $17B returned. I have not dug deeper that that.

CFSA part I rates are fixed to those of the PSSA group one. This means that while the PS pay half of the cost of their future benefits, CAF members pay about 40%.

Much of the whinging about pension plans and surpluses is made by individuals who are not familiar with the law.
 
Ok just to make you happy as you obviously didn't like the joke.

  • 55.4 (2) If, following the laying before Parliament of any actuarial valuation report pursuant to section 56 that relates to the state of the Canadian Forces Pension Fund, there is, in the President of the Treasury Board’s opinion, a non-permitted surplus in that Fund,

    • (b) there may be paid out of the Canadian Forces Pension Fund, and into the Consolidated Revenue Fund, the amount, at the time and in the manner, that the Treasury Board determines on the recommendation of the President of the Treasury Board after consultation with the Minister.
Thinking TB's opinion could be influenced to determine at 11% it is a non-permitted surplus and transfer from the pension. They are already doing it to the public service at supposedly $1.9 billion. Federal pension plan: Anand must restore fairness to federal government workers

and should we all pretend it didn't happen before Public service employees not entitled to $28-billion pension repayment, court rules
The Act includes a definition of what a non-permitted surplus is. TB doesn't get to make up their own mind.

Non-permitted surplus

(5) For the purposes of this section, a non-permitted surplus exists when the amount by which assets exceed liabilities in the Canadian Forces Pension Fund, as determined by the actuarial valuation report referred to in section 56 or one requested by the President of the Treasury Board, is greater than 25 per cent of the amount of liabilities in respect of contributors, as determined in that report.
 
No, he's putting an interpretation on what it says. Unless there is a precedent ruling that says that illegal immigrants are not subject to the jurisdiction of the US (and there might be, IDK), I don't think it is true what the EO claims. Off the top of my head, the only people "not subject to the jurisdiction of the United States" are foreign diplomatic personnel and foreign military plus their families. There may be other groups. If a person in the US illegally commits a crime, do you not think they are subject to US law?

In a sense, you may be right that, if his position is ultimately endorsed by SCOTUS, then he doesn't need an amendment.

It seems a federal court judge has already blocked it temporarily, and 22 states have started actions against it. Not that he will care. His base will be happy and the deep state stands in his way.


The contrary proposition


Claremont Institute scholars, including me, Ed Erler, Tom West, John Marini, and Michael Anton, President Trump’s incoming Director of Policy Planning at the State Department, have been contending for years—decades, really—that the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause does not provide automatic citizenship for everyone born on U.S. soil, no matter the circumstances. Other prominent scholars, such as the late University of Texas law Professor Lino Graglia, University of Pennsylvania Professor Rogers Smith, and Yale Law Professor Emeritus Peter Schuck, have come to the same conclusion based on their own extensive scholarly research.

Think of it this way. Someone from Great Britain visiting the United States is subject to our laws while here, which is to say subject to our partial or territorial jurisdiction. He must drive on the right-hand side of the road rather than the left, for example. But he does not thereby owe allegiance to the United States; he is not subject to being drafted into our army; and he cannot be prosecuted for treason (as opposed to ordinary violations of law) if he takes up arms against the United States, for he has breached no oath of allegiance.

So which understanding of “subject to the jurisdiction” did the drafters of the 14th Amendment have in mind?

Happily, we don’t need to speculate, as they were asked that very question. They unambiguously stated that it meant “complete” jurisdiction, such as existed under the law at the time, the Civil Rights Act of 1866, which excluded from citizenship those born on U.S. soil who were “subject to a foreign power.”

The Supreme Court confirmed that understanding (albeit in dicta) in the first case addressing the 14th Amendment, noting in The Slaughterhouse Cases in 1872 that “[t]he phrase, ‘subject to its jurisdiction’ was intended to exclude from its operation children of ministers, consuls, and citizens or subjects of foreign States born within the United States.” It then confirmed that understanding in the 1884 case of Elk v. Wilkins, holding that the “subject to the jurisdiction” phrase required that one be “not merely subject in some respect or degree to the jurisdiction of the United States, but completely subject to their political jurisdiction, and owing them direct and immediate allegiance.” John Elk, the Native American claimant in the case, did not meet that requirement because, as a member of an Indian tribe at his birth, he “owed immediate allegiance to” his tribe and not to the United States.

Thomas Cooley, the leading treatise writer of the era, also confirmed that “subject to the jurisdiction” of the United States “meant full and complete jurisdiction to which citizens are generally subject, and not any qualified and partial jurisdiction, such as may consist with allegiance to some other government.” More fundamentally, this understanding of the Citizenship Clause is the only one compatible with the consent of the governed principle articulated in the Declaration of Independence.


I reckon lots of lawyers are going to get rich on this one.

....

 
The dispute is going to turn on the meaning of "subject to the jurisdiction". Pretty much everyone understands that they are subject to the laws of countries while they are visiting, but do not expect the right to vote or claim citizenship. If the liberal interpretation has to amount to permitting birth tourism, it will probably not prevail.
It's an interesting discussion, and the opinions of talking heads or folks on a forum will mean little until it inevitably gets to a senior court. I'm certainly no legal scholar but did a quick Internet search. There doesn't seem to be a lot of precedent law on the topic, and none of it is recent.

This article isn't a ruling but an interesting discussion. In the mid-1800s, mass migration wasn't a thing, and the US didn't have troops stationed overseas (which would seem to exclude their offspring from natural-born citizenship - something the framers didn't think of). Also, Native Americans were originally felt to be excluded.

This case from 1989 granted citizenship to the child of a Chinese national is a decent summary. In a reflection of the times of rampant anti-Asian racism, the comments of the dissenting judge are interesting when he talks about the cultural fealty of all Chinese to their emperor.

If you consider the position of the judges that "subject to the jurisdiction" is absolute, it's a wonder that the US allows dual citizenship.

Anyway, its all academic until the courts decide. I suppose it is possible that a conservative Supreme Court like the US currently has could agree with executive order. Hopefully, the Court will rule on the basis of law, not politics. The practical implications should be for the government to deal with.
 
I'm glad he's so confident ....

'We don't need them': Trump's latest swipe draws skepticism from Canadian leaders​

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was quick to waive off Trump's words as empty rhetoric

OTTAWA — U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest swipe at Canada in virtual remarks to the World Economic Forum, telling attendees that the U.S. economy could get along just fine without Canadian imports, drew a skeptical response from Canadian leaders.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, in Ottawa for a caucus retreat, was quick to wave off Trump’s words as empty rhetoric.

Trudeau told reporters that Trump does, in fact, need Canada’s exports if he wants to make good on his campaign promise to deliver unprecedented prosperity to Americans.

“President Trump has announced that he wants a golden age for the American economy,” said Trudeau.

“That means they’re going to need more energy, more minerals… more of the things that Canada is already sending them as a reliable and trustworthy partner.”

In his first speech to the WEF since his first presidency ended in early 2021, Trump repeated talking points painting Canada as a self-serving trade partner, taking advantage of U.S. generosity.

“Canada’s been very tough to deal with over the years, and it’s not fair that we should have a 200 or 250 billion dollar (trade) deficit,” said Trump, referring to the small trade imbalance created by U.S. demand for Canadian energy exports.

Trump also repeated his now expected line about Canada becoming the 51st state of the U.S.

“As you probably know, I say you can always become a state and then if you’re a state we won’t have a deficit, we won’t have to tariff you,” Trump said.

 
I'm glad he's so confident ....

Trump or Trudeau?

I’m not sold on Trump as how I’d like to see statemen and women go about things, but Trudeau just needs to STFU. How about un-proroguing Government and voting to take action vs incessant talk-talk and hands on hip posturing (from a horribly weak position)?
 
It's an interesting discussion, and the opinions of talking heads or folks on a forum will mean little until it inevitably gets to a senior court. I'm certainly no legal scholar but did a quick Internet search. There doesn't seem to be a lot of precedent law on the topic, and none of it is recent.

This article isn't a ruling but an interesting discussion. In the mid-1800s, mass migration wasn't a thing, and the US didn't have troops stationed overseas (which would seem to exclude their offspring from natural-born citizenship - something the framers didn't think of). Also, Native Americans were originally felt to be excluded.

This case from 1989 granted citizenship to the child of a Chinese national is a decent summary. In a reflection of the times of rampant anti-Asian racism, the comments of the dissenting judge are interesting when he talks about the cultural fealty of all Chinese to their emperor.

If you consider the position of the judges that "subject to the jurisdiction" is absolute, it's a wonder that the US allows dual citizenship.

Anyway, its all academic until the courts decide. I suppose it is possible that a conservative Supreme Court like the US currently has could agree with executive order. Hopefully, the Court will rule on the basis of law, not politics. The practical implications should be for the government to deal with.

It is only since 1967, apparently, that the US did allow dual citizenship.


The oath doesn't seem to allow for it.

"I hereby declare, on oath, that I absolutely and entirely renounce and abjure all allegiance and fidelity to any foreign prince, potentate, state, or sovereignty, of whom or which I have heretofore been a subject or citizen; that I will support and defend the Constitution and laws of the United States of America against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that I will bear arms on behalf of the United States when required by the law; that I will perform noncombatant service in the Armed Forces of the United States when required by the law; that I will perform work of national importance under civilian direction when required by the law; and that I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion; so help me God."
 
Trump or Trudeau?

I’m not sold on Trump as how I’d like to see statemen and women go about things, but Trudeau just needs to STFU. How about un-proroguing Government and voting to take action vs incessant talk-talk and hands on hip posturing (from a horribly weak position)?

I still think Trump falls into the same category of negotiator as those West Coast fishermen I was talking about.

Quite willing to take extreme positions if it will help him get a better deal.

Wants and needs.

He doesn't need our lumber. He has trees of his own.
He doesn't need our oil, gas or coal. He has those as well.
He doesn't need our cars. He can build those himself.

But.

If we can supply better lumber at a lower price he might be interested.
If we can supply fossil fuels at a lower price, and maybe throw in some uranium and rare earths, he might be interested.
If we can build cars cheaper .... maybe. Although, as I recall the original autopact the problem was MacLaughlin couldn't build cars for the Canadian market as cheaply as the Americans could so we cut a deal that allowed us to piggy back on their supply lines to build enough cars for the Canadian market at prices close to the US prices.

And if we are still making a profit off him he wants us to spend it on National Defence, not pensions and medicaid.
 
If we can supply better lumber at a lower price he might be interested.
If we can supply fossil fuels at a lower price, an maybe throw in some uranium and rare earths, he might be interested.
If we can build cars cheaper .... maybe. Although, as I recall the original autopact the problem was MacLaughlin couldn't build cars for the Canadian market as cheaply as the Americans could so we cut a deal that allowed us to piggy back on their supply lines to build enough cars for the Canadian market at prices close to the US prices.

Which is exactly the point. Canada can help the US make MORE money, but the US makes PLENTY of money, even if Canada completely withdrew and sold 100% of its goods to China.
 
Which is exactly the point. Canada can help the US make MORE money, but the US makes PLENTY of money, even if Canada completely withdrew and sold 100% of its goods to China.

All the more true when you are the bank.
 
I think that some tend to give Canada too much credit as all that and a bag of chips. When a country could disappear and influence another’s GDP by less than a percent, you’re small potatoes.

Countries & Regions
The United States is the 2nd largest goods exporter in the world, behind only China. U.S. goods exports to the world totaled $2.1 trillion in 2022, up 17.5 percent ($307.3 billion) from 2021. Canada was the largest purchaser of U.S. goods exports in 2022, accounting for 17.3 percent of total U.S. goods exports. The top five purchasers of U.S. goods exports in 2022 were: Canada ($356.5 billion), Mexico ($324.3 billion), China ($150.4 billion), Japan ($80.2 billion), and the United Kingdom ($76.2 billion). U.S. goods exports to the European Union 27 were $350.8 billion.
We shouldn’t sell ourselves short either. The latest official figures on the United States Trade Representative’s own website says that Canada is the top purchaser of US goods exports accounting for 17% of total US goods exports. That’s pretty impressive considering our smaller population compared to many other major countries/economies. Canada purchases more US goods exports than the entire EU (all 27 countries combined). If Canada disappeared I think America would notice.
 
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