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The War in Ukraine

Senior Russian General in charge of their Chemical-Radiological-Biological defense unit, along with his assistant, was assassinated this morning outside his Moscow apartment. More info here:



And a list of pro-Russian supporters and defectors killed since the war started:

 
Senior Russian General in charge of their Chemical-Radiological-Biological defense unit, along with his assistant, was assassinated this morning outside his Moscow apartment. More info here:



And a list of pro-Russian supporters and defectors killed since the war started:


Mossad:
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Senior Russian General in charge of their Chemical-Radiological-Biological defense unit, along with his assistant, was assassinated this morning outside his Moscow apartment. More info here:

...
Using a scooter bomb, no less ....
Bit more imagination than pushing out a window, I must say.
 

Russia having some troubles with their oil tankers lately

Pop Tv Ronnielee GIF by Schitt's Creek
 
The domain slide.
Think of "domains" as environments both physical (such as land, sea, air, space) and energy (electromagnetic = cyber and electrochemical = human brain)

Parallel to the ground are the planes representing domains most commonly thought of ascending upwards as if from the earth to space: land, sea, air and the recently added space. The human domain (info ops, psyops, direct action outside of declared war etc) is a factor in all 4 of these. Then cyber had to be added as it affects events in every other domain - so it couldn't be vertical and parallel as it needed to intersect the human domain so it was put at an angle and should actually have only intersected one other plane at a time but still passes through all of them. This image is a picture of a powerpoint slide from a youtube so is a bit fuzzy where human/sea/cyber intersect.

Basically it is a graphical representation in 2 dimensions of a multidimensional reality. Each horizontal domain of conflict is separate but all can be affected by, and affect each other through, actions taking place in the cyber and human domains.

I am sure there are mathematicians who love playing with multidimensional / n-space calculations and matrices who could explain it better.

Domains.jpg

Here is a better diagram and explanation from a different youtube briefing. Note that it uses "information" instead of "human", but since then the descriptor has changed since information must be processed by human brains, and there are other forms of manipulation humans can be subjected to that change their thinking and also cause effects in war be it cold or hot. Colonel Reisner also describes the application of this theory in Venn diagram terms.

 
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So, is this an indication of bigger problems, or an outlier?

Looking at UKRs campaign against refineries and such, is Russia now having to move more POL to to different areas in ways that they hadn't planned to? I suspect the answer to that is yes.

If RUS is now bringing riverboat tankers to the sea to ensure that their folks in Crimea/front lines are getting fuel, and now 3 of those riverboat tankers have been lost, what will the impact be in a few weeks/months?

I'm not going to pretend I know what's in the tankers - probably not crude oil though, probably (somewhat) refined diesel.

Is that 3 ships worth of fuel lost to the support of the invasion forces? How many tanks/trucks does that park? The first two ships were 9000 tons of fuel oil, and the 3rd one might have been (an unconfirmed report) 3700 tons. That's the better part of 13,000 tons of fuel oil lost.

Math estimates on that is about 15,000,000 liters of fuel. (~1200l per ton - ish - not sure if they were metric tonnes or imperial...that has an imapct)

As we roll into winter, is that fuel that was going to be used in heating plants? Who's going to start getting cold now, and what will the knock-on impact be to the war?

I suspect that those tankers were doing the run just fine for months...the summer months anyhow.

Now that winter is upon them, a couple of days of heavy seas has now directly impacted Russia's ability to support getting fuel to theatre.

If Russia is now no longer able to use these 3 ships to deliver fuel to the area, how are they going to make up that fuel deficit?
 
So, is this an indication of bigger problems, or an outlier?

Looking at UKRs campaign against refineries and such, is Russia now having to move more POL to to different areas in ways that they hadn't planned to? I suspect the answer to that is yes.

If RUS is now bringing riverboat tankers to the sea to ensure that their folks in Crimea/front lines are getting fuel, and now 3 of those riverboat tankers have been lost, what will the impact be in a few weeks/months?

I'm not going to pretend I know what's in the tankers - probably not crude oil though, probably (somewhat) refined diesel.

Is that 3 ships worth of fuel lost to the support of the invasion forces? How many tanks/trucks does that park? The first two ships were 9000 tons of fuel oil, and the 3rd one might have been (an unconfirmed report) 3700 tons. That's the better part of 13,000 tons of fuel oil lost.

Math estimates on that is about 15,000,000 liters of fuel. (~1200l per ton - ish - not sure if they were metric tonnes or imperial...that has an imapct)

As we roll into winter, is that fuel that was going to be used in heating plants? Who's going to start getting cold now, and what will the knock-on impact be to the war?

I suspect that those tankers were doing the run just fine for months...the summer months anyhow.

Now that winter is upon them, a couple of days of heavy seas has now directly impacted Russia's ability to support getting fuel to theatre.

If Russia is now no longer able to use these 3 ships to deliver fuel to the area, how are they going to make up that fuel deficit?
I’ve read that they were carrying Mazut - heavy fuel oil; low quality. Not sure where they’d have been trying to go or what they thought would happen once they were through to the Med.
 
So, is this an indication of bigger problems, or an outlier?

Looking at UKRs campaign against refineries and such, is Russia now having to move more POL to to different areas in ways that they hadn't planned to? I suspect the answer to that is yes.

If RUS is now bringing riverboat tankers to the sea to ensure that their folks in Crimea/front lines are getting fuel, and now 3 of those riverboat tankers have been lost, what will the impact be in a few weeks/months?

I'm not going to pretend I know what's in the tankers - probably not crude oil though, probably (somewhat) refined diesel.

Is that 3 ships worth of fuel lost to the support of the invasion forces? How many tanks/trucks does that park? The first two ships were 9000 tons of fuel oil, and the 3rd one might have been (an unconfirmed report) 3700 tons. That's the better part of 13,000 tons of fuel oil lost.

Math estimates on that is about 15,000,000 liters of fuel. (~1200l per ton - ish - not sure if they were metric tonnes or imperial...that has an imapct)

As we roll into winter, is that fuel that was going to be used in heating plants? Who's going to start getting cold now, and what will the knock-on impact be to the war?

I suspect that those tankers were doing the run just fine for months...the summer months anyhow.

Now that winter is upon them, a couple of days of heavy seas has now directly impacted Russia's ability to support getting fuel to theatre.

If Russia is now no longer able to use these 3 ships to deliver fuel to the area, how are they going to make up that fuel deficit?
Aside from Gulf War 1, this war has to be one of the worst in terms of environmental impact
 
So, is this an indication of bigger problems, or an outlier?

Looking at UKRs campaign against refineries and such, is Russia now having to move more POL to to different areas in ways that they hadn't planned to? I suspect the answer to that is yes.

If RUS is now bringing riverboat tankers to the sea to ensure that their folks in Crimea/front lines are getting fuel, and now 3 of those riverboat tankers have been lost, what will the impact be in a few weeks/months?

I'm not going to pretend I know what's in the tankers - probably not crude oil though, probably (somewhat) refined diesel.

Is that 3 ships worth of fuel lost to the support of the invasion forces? How many tanks/trucks does that park? The first two ships were 9000 tons of fuel oil, and the 3rd one might have been (an unconfirmed report) 3700 tons. That's the better part of 13,000 tons of fuel oil lost.

Math estimates on that is about 15,000,000 liters of fuel. (~1200l per ton - ish - not sure if they were metric tonnes or imperial...that has an imapct)

As we roll into winter, is that fuel that was going to be used in heating plants? Who's going to start getting cold now, and what will the knock-on impact be to the war?

I suspect that those tankers were doing the run just fine for months...the summer months anyhow.

Now that winter is upon them, a couple of days of heavy seas has now directly impacted Russia's ability to support getting fuel to theatre.

If Russia is now no longer able to use these 3 ships to deliver fuel to the area, how are they going to make up that fuel deficit?
Mein Fuhrer, don't worry the Luftwaffe can supply all that they need!
 
I’ve read that they were carrying Mazut - heavy fuel oil; low quality. Not sure where they’d have been trying to go or what they thought would happen once they were through to the Med.
pictures look really black for what ever thats worth
Maybe they transfer to another ship in like Greece or something?
 
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