tomahawk6 said:
Interesting article by Victor Davis Hanson. Essentially the nations of the EU and NATO have very little punching power beyond their own borders.
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MGNmMzdmOGM5OTlmMzMxZDAzYjBiZDc4NjI1NjViYzU=&w=MQ==
Houses of Straw
The EU’s delusions about the sufficiency of “soft” power are embarrassingly revealed.
By Victor Davis Hanson
‘It’s completely outrageous for any nation to go out and arrest the servicemen of another nation in waters that don’t belong to them.” So spoke Admiral Sir Alan West, former First Sea Lord of the Royal Navy, concerning the present Anglo-Iranian crisis over captured British soldiers. But if the attack was “outrageous,” it was apparently not quite outrageous enough for anything to have been done about it yet.
What an excellent and incisive analysis of the situation. Thanks for bringing the article to our attention, tomahawk6. Hanson is right about (the British ROE being de-escalatory in nature) - they have no other choice simply because they lack the military power needed to prosecute the action needed to deal with an emerging
casus belli. At the same time, I do understand that the British (and others) recognize that an attacking Iran with the intent to save fifteen sailors could trigger a wider war which would cost many, many more lives and likely see Russian and Chinese involvement.
Speaking of countries which lack the ability to punch far beyond their borders and subscribe to the intellectually diseased and bankrupt notion of 'soft power', Canada handily fits into that group. Yes, we are making a significant contribution in Afghanistan (and in some ways bearing the brunt of the load). At the same time, there are too many Canadians walking around with the erroneous notion that war has simply ceased to exist, and too many in powerful positions willing to indulge and encourage that deluded view of things.
Yes, our new prime minister, Stephen Harper, would like to do more for the military. But he's constrained two major things: 1) The need to garner votes in Quebec, which has always had a vision of Canada as an essentially isolationist, non-aligned (especially where the US is concerned) and semi-pacifistic state; 2) A large number of Canadians are still in love with the idea of peacekeeping and don't want to let go - he has to find a way to engage these people without losing their votes. (Unfortunately for the peaceniks, peacekeeping is dead, dead, dead. It died when civil war broke out in the former Republic of Yugoslavia and Third World backwaters like Somalia. )
Sometimes I question the Afghanistan mission - that is, why are we really there? What do we get out of it? Why is it important for our soldiers to be doing reconstruction tasks that could better be handled by civilian agencies? Isn't a soldier's first, and most important job (in order to bring about the necessary preconditions for peace to take hold) closing with and destroying the enemy?
At the same time, I realize that withdrawing our troops is counterproductive. If we withdraw, the Talban and all the other Islamofascist terrorist nutbars win, we lose, and we may find ourselves getting a dose of what the Spanish got into the 'bargain', if you can call it that.
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that the Iranians have a right to develop nuclear weapons. After all, simple logic tells you that all nations which claim a right to sovereignty have a right to defend that sovereignty and to that end, to possess whatever weapons and materiel are necessary to achieve that aim. That said, it might probably be easier in the short term to let Iran have its nukes. But appeasement never works and in this case, has no chance of securing meaningful, long-term peace in the Middle East as a whole.
At the same time, I don't blame the United States one bit for wanting to squash Ahmadinejad's nuclear ambitions. Consider the following reasons why:
1) Ahmadinejad's regime is unstable, irresponsible and potentially genocidal; letting him have nukes is tantamount to letting a madman with murderous impulses have a gun;
2) Left to its own devices, Iran could eventually develop nuclear warhead delivery systems capable of threatening Europe, the US and Asia;
3) With such weapons, or even short-range ballistic missiles, Iran could threaten the entire Middle East into denying the US and other countries access to oil, thereby wrecking the world economy;
4) It's bad enough that Russia, China (and possibly North Korea) have nuclear weapon delivery systems capable of striking the US, Europe and Asia. Why let another party (and an unstable one at that) join that club? The US has too many threats to deal with as it is.
As inflammatory as it is, the Iranian snatch of Royal Navy personnel is a two-pronged event. It is designed to score a propaganda victory. It is also a probe designed to test the resolve of the UK and its allies - to see if they can be provoked into attacking with relatively little provocation.