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U.S. warns Taliban are planning spring offensive

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story found here: http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20070115/Taliban_offensive_070115/20070116?hub=CanadaAM

U.S. warns Taliban are planning spring offensive

Updated Tue. Jan. 16 2007 7:09 AM ET

Canadian Press

KANDAHAR, Afghanistan -- There are growing warnings among U.S. military ranks that Kandahar, the "holy grail" for Taliban militants, will once again be the central objective of an anticipated spring offensive.

The high sign is coming not only from American commanders on the ground, but senior officials with newly appointed U.S. Defence Secretary Robert Gate, who is expected to travel to Afghanistan in the coming days.

The senior Canadian commander in Afghanistan said he doesn't believe the province of Kandahar, nor the city itself, would bear the brunt of a spring offensive if one materializes, adding he has confidence his U.S. allies will not yield any ground.

"Clearly if they're talking publicly about it, there's no doubt in my mind that they would have plans to deal with it," said Brig.-Gen. Tim Grant in an interview with The Canadian Press.

Canadian troops were in the thick of bloody fighting throughout much of last year as Taliban insurgents mounted their most determined campaign since the 2001 overthrow of their government, to retake the country's second largest city.

In published reports last week, U.S. army Brig.-Gen. Anthony Tata was quoted as saying the Taliban is expected to unleash a campaign in eastern Afghanistan to cut the vital road between Kabul and Kandahar. The ultimate objective would be to seize Kandahar, where the hardline Islamic movement was founded.

The warning was repeated last weekend by a senior official travelling with Gates when he met with British Prime Minister Tony Blair in London.

"There's no doubt the Taliban understand operational-level tactics," said Grant.

"It would be a tremendous coup for them if they were able to cut the Kandahar-Kabul highway, but I have tremendous faith in the Americans operating in (Regional Command) East that they would not allow that to happen."

Tata, who is deputy commander of the American 10th Mountain Division, and U.S. marine commandant Gen. James Conway say a marine combat brigade should be sent to eastern Afghanistan to reinforce the area along the border with Pakistan. U.S. media reports over the weekend also suggest Britain is considering adding to the 5,600 troops it already has the country, most of whom are stationed in the neighbouring province of Helmand.

Underscoring the growing concern, Gates met Monday in Brussels with the secretary general of NATO to talk about the Alliance's 30,000 troops who are fighting in the troubled country. Last fall, NATO commanders also called for an additional combat brigade, a request that was met with a half-hearted response by members.

Grant said he didn't want to comment on the "tactical situation outside" of his operational area, but indicated he's skeptical insurgents would be able to mount a major conventional military operation.

"I would question the Taliban's ability to launch to an offensive that would allow them to cut and hold that road for any length of time," he said.

Last fall, Canadian troops led a major offensive to break the back of militant strength in arid farmland west of Kandahar. The success of Operation Medusa and the slow return to normal life for residents of the Panjwaii district adds to Grant's cautious optimism that the coming months will not be as bloody as the last year.

"We've dealt some severe blows to the senior leadership of the Taliban in this province, so from that standpoint it will take them some time to recuperate," he said.

The buoyancy is further supported by the relative calm that has washed over the troubled province, which comes as Canadian troops consolidate their gains of last fall with another operation - Falcon's Summit - meant to win over soft Taliban supporters in rural areas west of Kandahar.

In a recent background briefing, a senior officer revealed that military planners have set themselves a goal of declaring the Canadian zone of influence in Kandahar and the surrounding area "secure" by July of this year. Secure is defined as local "residents not being afraid" to go about their business.

Grant didn't say whether he believed the objective could be met and cautioned: "We haven't seen the end of the Taliban in this province."

Kandahar is still the heartland for the extremist movement, he said.

"This is where it all started. There is no doubt the last Taliban fighting in Afghanistan will be fighting in Kandahar province."
 
There's an offensive every spring.  ::)

logos said:
newly appointed U.S. Defence Secretary Robert Gate, who is expected to travel to Afghanistan in the coming days.
Oh, and Canadian Press/CTV.....it's Robert Gates.
 
In other news the CIA is breifing the President to advise him that based on their latest intelligance the sun should be coming up in the East, but they still have not confirmed it yet.
 
Taliban plot new offensive against NATO
GRAEME SMITH From Thursday's Globe and Mail
Article Link

KANDAHAR, AFGHANISTAN — The Taliban have promised another season of death in southern Afghanistan, saying their fighting strength is undiminished by recent NATO attempts to destroy their leadership.

Senior U.S. military commanders appear to be taking the threats seriously.

On Wednesday, they discussed boosting the number of American troops fighting alongside the Canadians and other allies.

This week's arrest of insurgent spokesman Mohammed Hanif turned into a political embarrassment for the Taliban Wednesday, as Afghan authorities distributed video copies of Mr. Hanif's confession. The well-known former mouthpiece for the insurgency described how the Taliban's top leader, Mullah Mohammed Omar, hides in the Pakistani city of Quetta with the assistance of that country's Inter-Services Intelligence agency

“He is protected by the ISI,” Mr. Hanif says in the video. Pakistan has always denied that Mr. Omar shelters within its borders, and that the ISI helps the insurgents.

The Taliban have been losing leaders and giving up terrain to North Atlantic Treaty Organization forces in recent weeks.

The death of Mullah Akhtar Mohammed Osmani in an air strike last month is believed to have hurt the insurgents' ability to raise money and buy weapons.

Another insurgent leader was arrested late Tuesday during a targeted raid on a compound in the province of Helmand, NATO said.

The alliance refused to release the man's name, but said he served as a regional Taliban commander.

“The individual is a fairly prominent Taliban leader, but we're not in a position yet to say exactly who,” said Squadron Leader Dave Marsh, a NATO spokesman in Kandahar, said Wednesday.

“The seizure went ahead as planned. It was meticulous, it was quick. There were no gunshots, no injuries caused.”

Reached by telephone, an insurgent commander in Helmand dismissed Wednesday's NATO statement on the arrest of the Taliban commander.

“Nobody was arrested, none of our leaders,” Mullah Alah Nazar, also known as Haji Nika, told The Globe and Mail. “If they arrested anybody, probably he is innocent.”
More on link
 
Didnt you love that guy? Saddam's intelligence blokes. "The Americans will never come into Baghdad"...In the background you hear gunfire and screaming.
I would watch and just wait for "The Americans are not even in this country" while an Abrams rolled past behind him.
 
I think we will be ready for the spring offensive. I am sure it will be as successful as last year's spring offensive. ;)

http://www.armytimes.com/news/2007/01/at82ndtoAfghanistan070118/

82nd heads to Afghanistan starting Saturday
Staff report
Posted : Friday Jan 19, 2007 13:15:34 EST

About 5,000 paratroopers from 4th Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division, will deploy Saturday for Afghanistan from their home at Fort Bragg, N.C.

According to an Army press release, the paratroopers deploying are part of a task force that also includes the division’s headquarters, combat aviation brigade and special troops battalion.

The 4th BCT is the newest addition to the 82nd and began standing up in January 2006 as part of the Army’s modular transformation.

The scheduled rotation is expected to last one year.

The 10th Mountain Division, which has comprised the bulk of Combined Joint Task Force 76 for the past year, has begun returning to its home at Fort Drum, N.Y., but it’s unclear if the 82nd is intended as its replacement.

The South Carolina Army National Guard’s 218th Enhanced Separate Brigade will be deploying in April as the latest rotation of Task Force Phoenix outside Kabul. The task force will have about 5,000 soldiers, with 1,500 from South Carolina.
 
I'm willing to bet they don't even know what caveat means>>>>> :blotto:

Spring will not be very "sunny" for the Taliban.
 
I dont understand why more is not be done with pakistan. Is there anything that is being done or could be done.
 
Alot of pressure is being applied to Pakistan as well as some carrots. The US has alot of intelligence gathering capability inside the tribal areas which results in air strikes on taliban/AQ targets inside Pakistan.
 
Update:
the 3d brigade 10th Mountain Div has been extended up to 4 months in Afhanistan. Also it was announced an additioanl brigade of troops from NATO countries would be forthcoming. Hopefully these additional NATO troops will actually be able to do something more than peer out from behind their barbed wire.

http://www.armytimes.com/news/2007/01/atafghanextend070125/
 
There must be some awful cussing going on out in the FOB's right now!


"The good news is you guys are going to get 4 month of combat pay, the bad news is that you are going to earn it!"
 
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