Moscow Theatre Attack - 22 March 2024

[brihard]

Just breaking… At least 4x active shooters in a concert hall, many dead, building on fire. Lots of video including of the shooters actively firing into groups of people.

This is awful on its own, and could also have tremendous ramifications depending on who Putin blames.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1771238274155049061

 

[Kirkhill]

Grozny.

 

[OldSolduer]

Jesus Christ what the hell? Moscow???

 

[Remius]

That country is not well…

 

[Haggis]

Just breaking… At least 4x active shooters in a concert hall, many dead, building on fire. Lots of video including of the shooters actively firing into groups of people.

This is awful on its own, and could also have tremendous ramifications depending on who Putin blames.

This is horrible, no matter who perpetrated it. Anyone who thinks he won't pin this on UKR should be drug tested.

 

[Remius]

This is horrible, no matter who perpetrated it. Anyone who thinks he won't pin this on UKR should be drug tested.

He’ll add a sprinkle of NATO in there too I bet…

 

[TacticalTea]

Two weeks ago:

U.S. warns citizens to avoid crowds in Moscow over potential attacks - National | Globalnews.ca

The U.S. embassy in Moscow is advising citizens in Moscow to avoid crowds for the next 48 hours due to concerns of "imminent plans" by extremists to target large gatherings.

globalnews.ca

US Embassy in Russia 48hr extremist warning

Location: Moscow, Russia

The Embassy is monitoring reports that extremists have imminent plans to target large gatherings in Moscow, to include concerts, and U.S. citizens should be advised to avoid large gatherings over the next 48 hours.

Actions to Take:

• Avoid crowds.
• Monitor local media for updates.
• Be aware of your surroundings.

US IC was aware.

 

[rmc_wannabe]

Jesus christ... that's definitely going to cause some ripples.

 

[SeaKingTacco]

Jesus christ... that's definitely going to cause some ripples.

100% both NATO and UKR will get blamed…

 

[rmc_wannabe]

100% both NATO and UKR will get blamed…

No doubt. This is definitely a boon for Putin's PR campaign... almost like he's brushed off the old playbook from Chechnya...

 

[Remius]

Reports are that at least 40 have been killed…so far.

 

[Cloud Cover]

One in custody, 4 are holding hostages.

Some saying this is IS-K, but Q why those assholes would be attacking Moscow.

 

[brihard]

One in custody, 4 are holding hostages.

Some saying this is IS-K, but Q why those assholes would be attacking Moscow.

First 24 hours rule. Assume everything is bullshit til proven or strongly evidenced.

 

[Cloud Cover]

Yep

 

[SeaKingTacco]

First 24 hours rule. Assume everything is bullshit til proven or strongly evidenced.

It is Russia.

Assume it is bullshit. Period.

 

[Retired AF Guy]

Two weeks ago:

U.S. warns citizens to avoid crowds in Moscow over potential attacks - National | Globalnews.ca

The U.S. embassy in Moscow is advising citizens in Moscow to avoid crowds for the next 48 hours due to concerns of "imminent plans" by extremists to target large gatherings.

globalnews.ca

US Embassy in Russia 48hr extremist warning

US IC was aware.

Apparently so was Canada:

Canada echoes U.S. warning of ‘imminent terrorism risk’ in Moscow - National | Globalnews.ca

The Canadian government is echoing a warning from the U.S. embassy in Russia of an 'imminent terrorism risk' in Moscow over the next 48 hours.

globalnews.ca

 

[CBH99]

First 24 hours rule. Assume everything is bullshit til proven or strongly evidenced.

I was just about to say...

Give it a day or 2 until the smoke clears (unfortunately, I mean this figuratively as well as literally) and something solid comes out before we jump to conclusions

That being said, I'd say it's reasonable to speculate there's a good chance UKR will be blamed, with a sprinkle of NATO.

I hate to say it, but it might be a fairly reasonable assumption on their part - like was posted, the US Intel community was aware an attack was imminent, and felt confident enough to put out an advisory.



From the FSB perspective, the fact that the US intel community knew something beforehand could be viewed as them being complicit.

Curious to see how this pans out...

 

[Brad Sallows]

The obvious rejoinder to "Ukraine did it!" is to observe that everyone knows a terrorist attack manifestly inflames public opinion towards supporting belligerency, and Ukraine is pretty much the last country to want to inflame Russian public opinion that way.

 

[TacticalTea]

The obvious rejoinder to "Ukraine did it!" is to observe that everyone knows a terrorist attack manifestly inflames public opinion towards supporting belligerency, and Ukraine is pretty much the last country to want to inflame Russian public opinion that way.

Also the election has already happened with record support for Putin and his mustachiod propagandist whose name I forget has already declared this is a war, not merely an SMO anymore.

In this context I don't really see the immediate benefit to Putin of blaming it right on Ukraine. Might be more useful to blame internal opposition or minorities within Russia.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Could even be disgruntled Wagner. But I suspect it does not matter who they were, because Putin will use it to his advantage.