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All eyes on Ignatieff

It will be interesting to see how Iggy fares now that he's been outmanoeuvred by all the other parties in his effort to bring down the government.
 
ModlrMike said:
It will be interesting to see how Iggy fares now that he's been outmanoeuvred by all the other parties in his effort to bring down the government.

I think you can argue that Prince Icarus is, actually, a winner.

The Bloc and the Dippers can now be accused, are being accused of propping up the hated Conservatives while only the Liberals oppose as opposition parties should do.

Ignatieff is not Dionized because he supported the Tories too often.

Harper is denied the election he wants and many (most?) Liberals do not.
 
E.R. I'm curious: why would Mr Harper want an election ?
I can't see it resulting in anything other than yet another Conservative minority government -at best (and a Liberal minority at worst).
And if he fails to gain that majority, would he not find himself looking for work (so to speak) ?
Surely he knows that...no ?
 
I think the Harper inner circle thinks that:

• A majority just might be within reach if they can find a good "ballot question;"

• Another minority is good enough if it results in a failure for Ignatieff which might cause yet another Liberal leadership debacle contest;

• A Liberal government is highly unlikely.
 
Bass ackwards said:
E.R. I'm curious: why would Mr Harper want an election ?
I can't see it resulting in anything other than yet another Conservative minority government -at best (and a Liberal minority at worst).
And if he fails to gain that majority, would he not find himself looking for work (so to speak) ?
Surely he knows that...no ?

On the contrary, if the Liberals were to trigger an election right now, I suspect the voter backlash would send the Conservatives to a majority.  Any party siding with the Liberals to trigger an election would probably incur the same voter wrath.  Jack and Gilles aren't completely thick, and, for the moment, will distance themselves from the Liberals as it's in their best interest to do so.

What I don't understand is the press constantly going on about Harper being propped up by the NDP, or being accused by Iggy of having a 'new love for the socialists'.  I don't remember seeing a gun to Jack's (or anyone else's) head today when they voted with the Conservatives.  Is Harper supposed to wield some sort of Vulcan telepathic mind control technique to get Jack and Gilles to side with him?  They voted what they voted without the benefit of a written or unwritten coalition, and I hardly see it as Harper getting into bed with any of the opposition parties.
 
OK, thanks for the responses, gentlemen.
I must be a pessimist because I can't for the life of me envision a Conservative majority. Especially under Mr Harper.
I'd sure like to see one -again especially under Mr Harper (if for no other reason than sheer curiosity to see what he'd do with it).

I guess for now I'll just be glad the election is averted.
And I'll go top up my glass of rum (damn thing's half empty...) 
 
I think there's two more factors, beyond what Occam added:

1. Ignatieff is not stupid; and

2. The Liberals are, temporarily, at least still divided over Iggy's leadership.

The temporary Liberals divisions will not last if Prince Icarus becomes stronger and stronger.

Ignatieff is not Dion. He's tougher and smarter and he has a much, much better team. As he "finds his footing" as leader, as he becomes politically "smarter" he will likely be a more formidable opponent.

The Conservatives want to fight him sooner rather than later, before he becomes stronger and while the Liberals are not wholly united behind him. If, as they assume they can, the Tories can beat Ignatieff's Liberals - even if they (the Conservatives) have a weaker minority - then they hope that the many ambitious left-wing/anti-Iggy Liberals will sharper their daggers for the (hopefully inevitable) back stabbing.
 
Is the Ignatieff/Bob Rae split going to be a cage match like the Chretien/Martin one?

Is this a "new" split or just a continuation of the old one?

Where does the "Young Dauphin" fit in?

Inquiring minds want to know!
 
Thucydides said:
Is the Ignatieff/Bob Rae split going to be a cage match like the Chretien/Martin one?

Is this a "new" split or just a continuation of the old one?

Where does the "Young Dauphin" fit in?

Inquiring minds want to know!


This is just the old one, the one that goes all the way back to 1967 when Pierre Trudeau overturned the Liberal, indeed national consensus forged by King/St Laurent and extended, albeit weakly, by Pearson.

Pearson lurched leftwards because he never had a majority and needed to appease the newly formed Dippers to stay in power. He also lurched towards appeasing Québec because of the “quiet revolution” and because he needed to head off Réal Caouette and the Ralliement des créditistes.

Trudeau happily extended the leftward stagger and extended the “French fact” in Ottawa – both to the consternation of the St Laurent wing of the party, which was rapidly purged.

Trudeau’s internal opposition came for John Turner. Turner was originally recruited into active federal politics by Pearson’s team (as were Trudeau and Chrétien) and he served in Pearson’s cabinet and in Trudeau’s, finally as finance minister. He resigned (as finance minister) in 1975. Some reports say he quit because he refused to impose wage and price controls which most competent economists regarded as stupidity – pure, partisan, vote buying politics.

Turner eventually won the Liberal leadership in 1984 and, very briefly, became prime minister – for 79 days before Brian Mulroney won a landslide victory in the late summer of 1984. For the next several years, while Mulroney won back-to-back majorities, Turner served as Liberal leader but he was stalked, constantly, by Jean Chrétien, a Trudeau acolyte.

Chrétien was (is) actually a very small “c” conservative in fiscal matters but he was a classic retail politician who believed in the politics of big social spending and of active anti-Americanism. To say that Chrétien and the Trudeauites stabbed Turner in the back is not far off the mark.

The tables were turned on ’tit Jean Chrétien when he became PM because he was, in turn, relentlessly stalked and eventually back stabbed by his finance minister, Paul Martin. Martin was, philosophically, in foreign policy, a near throwback to St Laurent.

Ignatieff? Who knows? Rae? A Trudeauista!

 
Thucydides said:
Is the Ignatieff/Bob Rae split going to be a cage match like the Chretien/Martin one?

Is this a "new" split or just a continuation of the old one?


Where does the "Young Dauphin" fit in?

Inquiring minds want to know!


The Dauphin is a wild card.

His main opposition is this guy:


4b9768e449a5b9b6ae729dbd3172.jpeg

Liberal defence critic Denis Coderre talks to reporters at Kandahar Airfield in Afghanistan, Monday, Oct.8. (TORSTAR)


Coderre is well organized and his positions are well known and popular in Québec.

The Dauphin appears, still, to be a cypher.

IF Prince Icarus leads the Liberals into an election and fails (the most likely outcome) I have no doubt that the knives will be out and Coderre's will be the sharpest. After Coderre, the next Liberal leader will be an Anglo. The next "turn" for a Franco Québecer might not be until 2020, when Trudeau will be around 50 - an appropriate are to become PM.
 
Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act from today’s Globe and Mail is an interesting analysis of Prince Michael from resident loony lefty Rick Salutin:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/narcissieff-in-the-mirror-of-politics/article1300483/
Narcissieff in the mirror of politics
Judgment day: Michael Ignatieff will make a seriously bad candidate

Rick Salutin

Friday, Sep. 25, 2009

Perhaps Michael Ignatieff's views weren't as sinister as they once seemed. When, for instance, he wrote in favour of what's been called torture lite, which means torture that doesn't leave marks; or supported the war on Iraq, which he halfheartedly recanted; or the Responsibility to Protect doctrine, which really only applies to the right of powerful nations to attack weak ones; or selective bombing of the Balkans in the 1990s. Maybe he just had a twerpy impulse to follow where those in power – the Clintons, Bushes or Blairs – led.

So let's turn to the consequential question for Canadian politics – not what he thinks but how he'll campaign. This was always the doubtful element: Can he lead the Liberal Party to victory? Remember that he never won the leadership. He began as a strong favourite, frittered that away and lost to Stéphane Dion. Then he seized power last winter without having to face challenges from Bob Rae or Dominic LeBlanc. He has yet to show he can win.

My own sense is that he'll make a seriously bad candidate, due to what I'd call his narcissism. This isn't so much about adoring yourself, as being so self-absorbed that your sense of how others react to you goes missing. A therapist I know says it usually involves “a great deal of self-referencing. A real other doesn't exist except as an extension of themselves.” This won't be useful when you're asking for people's votes, against other candidates.

For instance: “I've been lucky in my life to meet famous people.” And, “I just pick up the phone and call some of my friends in his [the Obama] administration.” As if we should be impressed, or envious. He recounted how witty he and the Prez got with each other (“He said, rather amusingly …”). And how the President complimented him on things he'd written, which “made this particular Canadian author feel pretty good.” That stuff may go down well with adoring audiences at author readings but, in politics, it's better to have your flunkies leak it for you. We're not at Harbourfront any more, Toto.

He told CBC Radio's Eleanor Wachtel that politics is “the most incredible adventure of all the adventures I've had in my life. … It's been unforgettable no matter how it turns out.” But for people in the country, how it turns out is what counts; he can save all the savouring for his next memoir. He told Adam Gopnik of The New Yorker: “I've been a spectator a lot of my life but this is about acting. … You have to be ready for combat, and you have to lead troops.” It's not that it's wrong to reflect on life's twists and turns, but he seems so captivated and preoccupied. Instead of revelling in the fab experience of being an actor, how about just Doing Something?

It's this misplaced emphasis that suggests an emotional tone deafness. The narcissism makes you oblivious to signals sent by others about how they perceive you, leading, one fears, to bad times on the campaign trail.

It's not the same as egomania, which can work in politics. Egomania requires you to be aware of others in order to dominate or manipulate them. With narcissism, you barely notice them, you bask in your own presence and assume everyone does. Even Stéphane Dion didn't seem narcissistic. Just arrogant: a guy who felt so superior, he was sure everyone would follow his lead. But narcissism blocks the reality of others, hence the stream of off-putting remarks.

Narcissieff himself seems to have a sense of this. “What is it that a great politician knows?” he asked Adam Gopnik. “I'm trying to learn that.” You might expect him to have had a clue before running to be PM, but at least he's asking. Trouble is, a narcissistic makeup can stand in the way of finding an answer. It cuts off the natural ability to pay attention to others. He looks, someone said recently, as if he's Voguing a politician.


The key to Salutin’s analysis is in the opening sentence: ”Perhaps Michael Ignatieff's views weren't as sinister as they once seemed.” One had to be pretty far “out” of the mainstream to find Iggy Icarus sinister, unless one is of a classical bent and remembers when sinister meant left (and dexter, from which we get dexterous or “able,” meant right).

The political left in Canada, which includes a large slice of the Liberal Party of Canada, mistrusts Ignatieff.
 
The following article from The Observer, a left-leaning British newspaper, is reproduced under the Fair Comments section of the Copyright Act. It makes a number of surprising statements, including that he is most likely to be the next Prime Minister and that the Conservatives are on their knees. However the real zinger is the last line of the story, "[h]e sounds wistful: in exile, somehow, whatever he says about having come home."

Michael Ignatieff: from The Late Show to Prime Minister in waiting?

Michael Ignatieff – writer, thinker and star presenter of BBC2's The Late Show in the 90s – is back in Canada after nearly three decades, and is the man most likely to become the country's next prime minister. But is his national pride the real thing or is he, as his critics sneer, 'just visiting'? Rachel Cooke finds out.


The bald fact is that when Michael Ignatieff, novelist, journalist, philosopher and former presenter of the BBC arts programme The Late Show (catchphrase: "Let's just bro-o-a-aden the frame a little…"), returned to his native Canada in 2005, after an absence of nearly three decades, he did so because he was asked to. The country's Liberal Party was mired in trouble – if you want the details, it had been tainted by a slush-fund scandal in Quebec – and some of its younger Turks saw in Ignatieff a leader uncorrupted by the small matter of previous involvement in politics. They went to see him at Harvard, where he was a professor, and they were blunt. "Will you stand?" they said.

Ignatieff, who answered their question in the affirmative, is now not only a Toronto MP but the leader of the Liberal Party and thus the man most likely to be Canada's next prime minister. (The current Conservative administration is on its knees and there could be an election at any time.) But he likes to attribute his return at least as much to homesickness as to pragmatism. Honestly! It wasn't like he disliked Canada, or anything, for all that he chose to live elsewhere, and for so long. He missed the place: the cold, the skating rinks, the desperate need for mittens in winter. The way he tells it, he might have come back anyway, and sod the top job. "The price of expatriation rose for me over time," he says. "It didn't go down. I began to feel it very strongly. I had a wonderful run in London, but it was a run, and I felt it had come to an end. I missed not belonging. I began to feel, not a stranger, but… coming home gave me a sense of being at home." His voice rises a note. "I'm home! I'm home!" he cries, softly. Then it falls again: "That has been a good feeling."

Of course, not everyone is ready to take his word for this. "What will he do if he loses? Go back to Harvard?" wrote one Canadian commentator recently. The Conservatives, meanwhile, who currently lead Canada's minority government, have broadcast a series of ads attacking Ignatieff for his long absence. "Michael Ignatieff," sneers the voiceover. "Just visiting." Reviewers have approached his new book, True Patriot Love, with a certain amount of suspicion. A companion volume to an earlier memoir about his father's Russian ancestors, it tells the story of his mother's family, the Grants: Anglophiles, who thought Canada would only accrue real status if it was able to hang on to its imperial identity. But the book also contains a lot of stuff about the nature of patriotism; how it functions; why it is A Good Thing. ("Loving a country is an act of the imagination," writes Ignatieff. And later: "The country in question for me has always been Canada.") This is what has had them holding their noses. Now that he is a politician, they say, it's hard to see True Patriot Love as anything other than a grotesquely over-blown campaign leaflet.

Ignatieff, who has the aloof manner and the half-closed, upwardly-tilting eyes of a pedigree cat, looks at me more in sorrow than in anger when I bring this up. It is so very... painful because, after all, he was a writer long before he was a politician. "The book was a voyage of discovery, as books always are," he says. "It really is a book about my family, and their connection to Canada. Yes, I did want to say, since I am under constant attack for various things: 'Wait a minute, here! You don't know who you are dealing with.' That was a motive. But the overwhelming motive was just to figure out how the story held together over three generations."

But what about his new fetish for patriotism? In the 1990s, Ignatieff reported from the Balkan wars, and he has written several books about the dangers of nationalism. Isn't it odd, now, to be praising as a virtue what he once suggested could so easily become a dangerous vice? "Yes, there is a very murderous nationalism out there, one based on purity. But there's also another nationalism, which we call patriotism, which is a love of country and is perfectly inclusive, and I don't think you can run a country unless you can appeal to it. You gotta reach down into something: some shared sense of common history, tradition, enterprise. You don't want to overdo it. You don't want to get sentimental about it. But [if it isn't there] you've got nothing to go on. Patriotism is the secret resource of a successful society."

His tone as he tells me this is slow, excessively careful and completely without irony, none of which would be surprising were he a career politician. Since when did irony and politics go? But Ignatieff used to be a writer. Listening to him now, it's as if he's been sedated, or body-snatched, or something. He's like a jazz man who's lost his sense of rhythm.


Today, Ignatieff really is just visiting. We meet in a grand room in Canada House, on Trafalgar Square, to the sound of squawking from the Gormley plinth outside. He is in London only briefly. This morning, he had meetings at the foreign office and with David Cameron. This afternoon, it is the turn of Lord Mandelson. In between, he hopes to meet up with a few old friends, "occasionally sneaking out for a little ramble through the old haunts". His London schedule, like his meeting earlier this year with Barack Obama, is, I guess, a sign of how seriously politicians outside Canada now take him – and he returns the favour. I ask how he found Cameron. "He's serious. He's got real answers to real questions. He knows what he believes, and he is intensely political in the best sense of the word. I thought he was personally charming. It was fun!"

Fun! But Ignatieff used to be a writer, a man who could say whatever he liked, and now he is a politician, and is able to say precisely nothing unless it comes straight from the script. How can that be fun? The Ignatieff brow – portcullis to his great big brain – wrinkles in the approved manner. "In politics, there's a kind of literal-mindedness," he says. "It's what you say, not what you mean, and you have to say only what you mean. Your question implies that I've suddenly had to tie myself in knots. No, I don't have to tie myself in knots, and I don't have to cease being who I am. But I have to watch what I say because the public has no other way to judge me than by what they read. I can't walk around saying: 'I keep saying these dreadful things, but I'm actually a nice fellow!' Why should they believe that?"

But writing is about nuance, and politics is, well, not. I don't know how he contains himself. "Again, I don't see it that way. I see this as the most exciting thing I've ever had to do. The most difficult, but when it's going well, the most rewarding." Writing and politics are both, he insists, about listening, about expressing what people are thinking and feeling. But the bonus in politics is that, in theory, the politician gets to make people's lives better. "The idea that there is this contrast between a world of subtlety, and a world of bald, flat generalisations doesn't sound like what it's like at all. The best part of what I've been doing in the past four years has been listening intently to Canadians in big rooms and small rooms, in wharves and bars and airport lounges, just trying to pick up the music here, so that what's really on their minds gets into the policies."

But isn't dishonesty built into politics? Admittedly, everything I know about Canada has been gleaned from the stories of Alice Munro, and the novels of Carol Shields [Ignatieff nods approvingly at this: "Good for you!" he says, in the manner of a kindly don to a kid from a council estate.] But if Canadian politicians are anything like British politicians, they say only what they're told to say, even when they clearly believe the opposite. "Well, you should never knowingly tell a falsehood because it really does poison the well of politics. But in [just] the same way that you really should not tell a falsehood in your private life. I'm not sure I see this huge gulf between the moral world I've entered and the moral world I've left."

When I saw him in the newspapers, sitting with Obama, I thought of all those Hollywood movies – like Dave, with Kevin Kline – where an ordinary guy is somehow spirited into the White House, and spends the rest of the picture wandering the corridors of power feeling bewildered. I know Ignatieff is not exactly a plumber… but still: doesn't it all feel preposterous?

"Again, not really. I don't want to give the wrong impression. Going to meet the president of the United States is a big deal. You do get, erm, a little apprehensive. But he is a master political animal. Grips you by the elbow, tells you that he's read your books, sits you down, makes you feel like you're the only guy in the world. Thirty-five minutes later, you think: that was a great guy. But you don't feel surreal. You feel you're sitting down with an extremely intelligent, good listener who's locked right in. A month into his presidency, and he conveyed the impression that he's always been president. That was genuinely astounding. He was at ease in some amazing way."

Ignatieff will not – he cannot – divide his life into two: before politics, and after. "It's a slightly complicated life. But you stitch it together." He is tougher now, no doubt about it, but he relishes the fact that no one could ever call him a career politician. "I like the fact I've lived a full other life. Everyone thinks I lived in an ivory tower, but I lived as a freelance, I lived by my wits, for 15 years, and it wasn't always easy. If you lived in literary London and had as many bad reviews as I did, you kind of toughen up anyway. And painful as it is to say, I've learned more from bad reviews than good reviews. Politics is like getting a really bad review: a stinker that you know all your friends are reading."


Michael Ignatieff is a scion of one of Canada's grandest families – his father, George, the immigrant son of a Russian count, was a senior Canadian diplomat – and attended one of its most prestigious boarding schools, Upper Canada College. (After he was elected leader of the Liberals, a Canadian newspaper sent a reporter to interview his former classmates. One described how the young Michael would walk around with a copy of Paris Match underneath his arm, telling people that his goal was to be prime minister. Another recalled Ignatieff lecturing him on the meaning of the 1905 destruction of the Russian navy in the Russo-Japanese war.) But in 1978, shortly after his 30th birthday, he left the country of his birth to seek his fortune elsewhere.

He went first to Cambridge, to continue the academic career he had begun in Canada, and then, tiring of his ivory tower, to London, to live as a freelance writer. As freelances go, he was more successful than most. He wrote an acclaimed biography of Isaiah Berlin. He wrote a column for the Observer. A first novel, Asya, received a royal slagging, but a second, Scar Tissue, was shortlisted for the Booker Prize. Plus, there was his presenting work on Voices on Channel 4, and Thinking Aloud and The Late Show on BBC2. ("Soooo… Martin Amis. You've written a book called The Moronic Inferno.") In this period, he was famed for his looks, and was sometimes to be found wearing a black polo neck. Yes, he had endured a painful and expensive divorce from his British wife, Susan Barrowclough, by whom he has two children, now grown up (in the past, he has referred obliquely to the difficulties he had over access to them). But he had found new love with a Hungarian-born publicist Zsuzsanna Zsohar. Life was good. After his second wedding, which took place at Hackney Town Hall in 1999, there was a party at the couple's minimalist Hoxton loft. It was attended by, among others, Jonathan Miller, Michael Palin and Simon Rattle.

Soon after this, though, it was all change again. Enough with the freelancing! In 2000, he returned to Harvard, where he had studied for his PhD, as the director of the Carr Center for Human Rights Policy at the John F Kennedy School of Government. This was an important and influential job, and many famous ears were soon flatteringly cocked in his direction. It was at this point, however, that he shocked his leftist friends by coming out in favour of the war in Iraq. In the years since, he has recanted his position in the most absolute terms, but in Canada, his former support for Bush continues to hang over him, like a cloud of midges. Worse, there have also been accusations that he supports so-called "torture-lite", though Ignatieff insists that this is not so, a position in which he has been backed by the director of Human Rights Watch.

Ignatieff tells me that he now feels more optimistic about the future of Iraq, but that this does not for one moment change his stance. "Even if Iraq finds some way to stability, you can't justify leading people to war on the basis of lies, and you can't justify the horrendous human cost Iraqis have paid to get where they are. I thought then, as now, that Saddam was a genocidal tyrant, and that conviction led me too far, and I made an error that I think I've taken responsibility for. I've never shied away from admitting that I was wrong, wrong, wrong." What about torture? Will he able to keep his anti-torture principles intact if he becomes prime minister? "Canada sent Maher Arar [a Canadian engineer] to Syria, and a court found that he had been subjected to extraordinary rendition, that his claims [of torture] were true and that he had delivered no intelligence to anybody. It was a disgrace. So, we don't do it. Ever. Period. Off the table. We don't get other people to do our dirty work for us, and we don't do dirty work ever."

How, then, to deal with international terrorism? Ignatieff has always said that our democracies are under threat from the bottom up, thanks to extremism. But without the intelligence services and their dirty methods, what weapons do we have? "One of the conditions of modern life is that you look into any crowd and you think: who's the person with the bomb in their head? But the only solution is politics. Give people tolerant, non-dogmatic, pragmatic good government that serves their interests. I don't know of another solution. That's all there is."


In Canada, feelings about Ignatieff can be split roughly in two. There are those who complain that it is a sign only of the country's feebleness and insecurity that it is seriously considering an intellectual who has spent a lifetime abroad as its future leader; and there are those who boast that it is a sign of its sophistication, maturity and wisdom that it is seriously considering an intellectual who has spent a lifetime abroad as its future leader. Obviously, Ignatieff himself would fall into the latter camp, if pushed. When I ask if he would like Canada to make more noise on the world stage, he says: "There are forms of noise that no country wants. We don't make noise because we work. Some of the quietness and modesty I obviously like, and prefer to our noisy neighbour in the south." Even so, can his donnish sensibility withstand the bullying and bluster and 24-hour news cycle that power, even in Canada, will bring with it?

He thinks so. "I married the right woman," he says. "That has turned out to be the most important single fact. I'm not going to die out there if people don't like me because there's someone at home who thinks I'm OK. I can't put it more directly than that. I have a sort of confidence, not necessarily in myself, but in the life I've led. I've done a lot of things. I'm not a kid any more. I feel I know some things about human beings, and what they're likely to do." Is he working harder than he's ever worked in his life? "Yes!" So when was the last time he read a novel? "Oh, I haven't read a novel in a while. I miss some of the reading. I miss reading for nothing other than the pleasure of it." He sounds wistful: in exile, somehow, whatever he says about having come home
 
The article above, found by Old Sweat, highlights the one area (or one of the areas?) in which Ignatieff ≈ Trudeau: their views on nationalism.

Trudeau was, using an analog developed by the subject of Prince Michael’s best work, Isaiah Berlin, a “hedgehog.” (Berlin posited that thinkers are like “foxes,” darting, quickly and often unpredictably, from idea to idea, or like “hedgehogs,” staying fixed on one idea.) Trudeau had one idea: nationalism is the cause of all the world’s problems. He equated 19th and 20th century British jingoism and German nationalism to 20th century Québec and American nationalism and found them all equally dangerous and destructive.

I think that idée fixe coloured everything he did in public life: socially, economically and, above all, in terms of foreign and defence policy where his, Trudeau’s, actions were, in my view, destructive of Canada’s vital interests.
 
Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act from yesterday’s Globe and Mail web site, is yet another analysis of Prince Michael:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/why-ignatieff-muddles-and-befuddles-us/article1302307/
Why Ignatieff muddles and befuddles us
The Liberal Leader is a credentials candidate who is missing a message

Rex Murphy

Saturday, Sep. 26, 2009 10:03AM EDT

What's the matter with Michael Ignatieff?

He has a great family name – diplomat father, philosopher (George Grant) uncle, and a whole kite tail of Russian aristocrats generations back. He was drafted to return to Canada on the strength of his accomplishments as a writer, journalist and teacher. And, in the very brief time since, he has finessed the leadership of the Liberal Party away from a very formidable array of politicians who thought to succeed Jean Chrétien.

Considering the handicaps he faced – time away from the country being the most serious – this is a stroke of considerable brilliance.

His greatest disadvantage, however, carries an equal weight of advantage. He is truly fresh on the scene; he carries none of the clammy odours of past scandals and feuds. He is not parochial, projects frequently some notion of Canada as a “world player.” These are sentiments many Canadians find very compelling.

So, in sum, what have we here? A fresh, intelligent leader, untainted by association with the Liberal Party's more egregious sins – the wreckage of sponsorship, lingering factionalism from the Martin-Chrétien duel – with a record of high career achievement in the competitive worlds of U.S. and British journalism and academia.

This man should be rocketing upward in every poll, and the party he leads, a vote-vacuuming miracle for the better part of a century, should be randy with confidence over the next election, whenever it comes.

But he's not, not at all. And his party is lamely trailing, in the midst of a recession, the dour, somewhat accident-prone, unexciting Harper Conservatives. This party has just been rescued by the Layton-Harper alliance from being forced to the polls by its own leader. As things stand, the Liberals almost surely would have lost.

What is the matter with Michael Ignatieff that this is so? What's missing from the portrait? Why, with so fresh and unspotted a leader, do the Liberals lack energy, borrow what little drama they possess from the tired, sham outrages of Question Period? It's difficult to pinpoint. It's not because of the “just-visiting” ads. They speak more to the narrowness of his opponents than to the flaws of their target. Nor has he been seriously spattered by cherry-picked quotations from some of his writings – his musings on the torture debate, for example – or his inclination toward the first person plural, the “we” in his writings, while tenured in America. They're predictable “hit points” but they don't really resonate. It isn't any perceptible difficulties (I leave the spat over Quebec nominations out of the mix for now) with his caucus.

Manner is one part of the answer. He is cocky and uncertain almost simultaneously, aggressive and challenging one moment, hesitant and even confusing in his message the next. That message, what there is of it, is a muddle. He casts the word “vision” around like it's a talisman, but speaks in the mushy platitudes of a high school valedictorian. He seems stranded between the two models of successful Liberal leadership, caught between the saloon and the salon. He cannot, by nature, mimic Jean Chrétien's carefully crafted populist style. Neither does he have the electricity and presence of Pierre Trudeau. Mr. Trudeau's braininess was sexy, Mr. Ignatieff's you merely gather from the résumé.

Mr. Trudeau wowed on contact. You're supposed to be impressed by Mr. Ignatieff. That dreadful feeble Ignatieff-before-the-trees ad, with its anodyne “we can do better” slogan, is breathtakingly pointless. It radiates the very absence of message or point that presumably it was constructed to dispel. And here we come to the centre of what's the matter.

What has he to say to Canadians? Why did he come home? How is a Canada with Michael Ignatieff as its leader a better, different Canada than one without him? What's special, distinct and intrinsic to his personality and style that adds something to the country he proposes to lead? Mr. Ignatieff has not only not answered these most basic questions. He signals by style and statement that he hasn't worked out the answers for himself, not to speak of his fellow citizens.

What we have so far from him is a credentials candidate, a list of qualifications, all neatly typed on very fine quality paper. On the page, he's great. He'd make the perfect university president. But where is the touch of style and manner, the evidence of real passion infusing new ideas, that connects him to, or makes him a vessel for, the shared aspirations of an entire people? Where's the leader quality?

Mr. Ignatieff has been in Canadian politics for nearly three years, and in a very important way he's no closer to demonstrating what he has to add, as leader, potential prime minister, to our common Canadian experience than the first day some very smart people asked him to come home.


Rex Murphy is a commentator with The National and host of CBC Radio's Cross-Country Checkup .


Murphy is right, it may be that Trudeau ”haunts us still”, as biographers Christina McCall and Stephen Clarkson wrote back in 1990, but Iggy Icarus baffles and "befuddles” us, temporarily at least, today.

And the comparisons with Trudeau never end, do they? It must annoy the hell out of Justin, the Dauphin.
 
Re: the Rachel Cook article.

Despite the scanty Canadian research on her part (resulting in the conclusion about the Conservatives);
despite the peculiarly British sensibiliities where, even in the Guardian, anyone with a title immediately belongs to a "grand family" (and that such things are found in all countries);
despite the "Dave for President" comment (where only a fellow traveller like Cook, finding a kindred spirit in Ignatieff, could consider Ignatieff "a common man" or perhaps even "a virtuous man" ideally suited for, but unlikely to achieve real power);
despite all of that Ms. Cook does seem to latch on to something that rings true for me:

Ignatieff really is dabbling.....It is just another adventure that one day will supply fodder for the next volume in his memoirs. 

I can sympathise with Ignatieff, at his age, slowly realizing a desire to return "home".  For some that urge seems akin to that of the Chinook Salmon.  If you have been wandering for a while then "home" starts to look just about as attractive as "away" did when you were at "home".  Unfortunately, your community shapes you and changes you while age hardens you so that, after a certain period of time, it becomes increasingly difficult to transition from one community to another.

Ignatieff's real community is Rachel Cook's community - the cosmopolitan, post-nationalist community of BBC, the Guardian, OxBridge and Harvard and the London School of Economics.  I suggest that that also was a community in which Trudeau felt at ease.

I further suggest that one of the contributing factors (sorry Edward, broken record time again) for Trudeau's cosmopolitanism (a trendy word for internationalism) was the belief, inculcated from birth, that society worked best from the top down with strong hands guiding the lives of billions.....and that, of course, he was best suited to do the guiding. In my opinion that is where Trudeau, raised as a Pius Catholic found common ground with Socialists, if not the Communists.  Both (all three?) systems preached against the evils of national borders and local, unauthorized, Princes.  Both have difficulty with allowing people, in my Grandfather's phrase, "gaunin' tae h*ll their ain gait" (going to h*ll at their own pace and in their own style).

That, regardless of minor policy variations, is ultimately what, in my view, sets Harper and his supporters, apart from the Trudeau/Ignatieff's and their supporters. Harperites (to use the pejorative) want government to stay out of the way, and they get upset if Harper acts to "govern" by such measures as imposing a dubious stimulus package.  Trudeauvians demand a "leader", with a plan, and a rule book, to solve problems that they themselves find insoluable - and intolerable.  To survive as a Harperite demands an ability to tolerate "the intolerable".

Or to quote one of Trudeau's influences:

"God give me the courage to change the things I can,
the strength to accept the things I can't
and the wisdom to know the difference."

Too many progressives lack the ability to accept, which requires an ability to tolerate.  Toleration is not about accepting people with whom you agree.  It is about accepting people with whom you disagree, people with whom you disagree so viscerally that you may allow yourself to be driven to hate them.

Unfortunately that tendency is not unique to progressives....

What churns my belly though is that the progressives assert their moral superiority while failing to recognize their failings. 

And I believe that that sense of superiority comes from the comfort associated with abdicating their personal responsibility and putting their trust in "the great leader and his plan".  If you believe the leader is right, and his plan is right, then all you personally have to do is follow the plan to be "right" as well.  If the plan fails, then the leader was wrong, or they were the wrong leader. You weren't wrong.  You were just following the plan.  That alleviates you from any personal responsibility for failure.
 
Substitute "fascist" for "progressive" and the picture clarifies.  Some view all persons as a project to be managed - often and conveniently with the viewer holding a membership in either the privileged management castes or the privileged receiver castes, and not so often in the producer castes - and some do not.  Ignatieff and the Liberals belong in the former camp, regardless of the party's chosen name.  Additionally, Ignatieff has chosen to embrace past Liberal mythology and propaganda rather than chart his own path by reasoning it for himself.  I do not see in MP Michael Ignatieff very much of author and scholar Michael Ignatieff.
 
Post at Dust my Broom:

Mickey I.'s Liberals to replace NDP on Socialist International?
http://dustmybroom.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12513:mickey-i-liberals-to-replace-ndp-on-socialist-international&catid=38:here-comes-the-science

Mark
Ottawa
 
Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act from today’s Globe and Mail web site, is Jane Taber’s analysis of the Coderre/Ignatieff fuss:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ignatieff-must-rebuild-after-rifts/article1304795/
Ignatieff must rebuild after rifts
With support sliding in the polls, and the resignation of his Quebec lieutenant, Liberal Leader is facing some dark days

Jane Taber

Tuesday, Sep. 29, 2009

Midway through his scrum with the national media Monday, Michael Ignatieff put his tongue in his cheek and deadpanned: “It's another great day in the life of the Leader of the Opposition.”

Hardly. These are among Mr. Ignatieff's darkest days as Liberal Leader. To say that he going through a rough patch is an understatement.

Where to begin?

Liberal support is sliding in the national opinion polls while support for the Harper Conservatives is climbing.

A much ballyhooed fundraiser planned for Thursday in Vaughan, Ont., which was to bring in hundreds of thousands of dollars to Liberal coffers, has been suddenly postponed – delayed because the Liberal confidence vote that a month ago was to bring down the government is to take place that day. It is meaningless now that the NDP is supporting the government.

And Monday, the day the no-confidence motion was tabled and the Liberal narrative was to be all about strength, conviction and a unified caucus, the narrative was all about disunity, treachery and the humiliation of the leader.

Despite the brave faces from Ignatieff MPs and officials, the resignation of Denis Coderre as Quebec lieutenant and defence critic – over a dust-up about who would run in a prized Montreal riding – is a blow not only to the party and its fortunes in Quebec, but also to Mr. Ignatieff's leadership.

“This is a darker day than most think,” a Liberal strategist said. “This is going to have repercussions.”

No one disputes Mr. Coderre's ability as a Quebec organizer. And after Monday's news conference, no one will dispute his ability to destabilize a situation.

Mr. Coderre let it all hang out, saying he no longer felt he had the moral authority to act as the Quebec lieutenant.

He dropped another bombshell, too, questioning the political acumen of the rather-new-to-politics Toronto crowd around Mr. Ignatieff, wondering how Quebec politics can be done from Toronto. He was referring to the fact that it appeared decisions around who should run in the Montreal riding of Outremont were being made in Toronto, by Mr. Ignatieff's inner circle, and not in Quebec by Mr. Coderre and his team.

It has been a constant criticism of the Ignatieff inner circle that too many are from Toronto, but Mr. Coderre was the first to say so publicly.

Mr. Ignatieff is not immune to this, either. He is said to be disappointed in himself. In conversations with friends over the weekend, he lamented the fact that he hasn't taken seriously enough the caucus's concerns about making his office more broadly based.

“Michael is a lot of things, but he's not stupid,” a veteran Liberal official said. “He knows that this is not very good.”

Not very good because there are questions now about who is really in charge of the party: Mr. Ignatieff, or the so-called Toronto officials who pushed former Chrétien cabinet minister Martin Cauchon's candidacy over the woman Mr. Coderre chose to run in Outremont.

Some Liberals are saying Mr. Ignatieff has rebuilding to do, not just in the party but in his own office. “He can't take this lightly.”

Others, however, don't buy the doom and gloom.

“Michael is not going to be held hostage by anyone,” Mississauga MP Albina Guarnieri said. “Denis has done a great job of lining up candidates. Unfortunately, he had to do what he did. This is most unfortunate.”

Other Liberals say the Quebec executive is solidly behind Mr. Ignatieff's decision. “I don't want to play into it,” said one of the Toronto officials, refusing to comment about the Toronto-Quebec divide.

And in the end, the result is two strong candidates running in Quebec ridings.

In an interview published this past weekend in Britain's Observer newspaper – that seems now to have been timed with precision – Mr. Ignatieff reflected on the bruising world of political life.

“I married the right woman. That has turned out to be the most important single fact. I'm not going to die out there if people don't like me because there's someone at home who thinks I'm okay. I can't put it more directly than that.”

Many people view Ms. Taber’s political analysis as being biased and the final six paragraphs, in my view, paint an unrealistically optimistic picture of a disastrous situation.

The Liberals had better send the Dippers a bunch of “Thank you!” cards because Taliban Jack Layton’s NDP is shooting itself in the foot: of course it (the NDP) will lose some seats to the Conservatives and maybe even to the Liberals and Greens, but, right now, they stand to gain many more seats from disaffected Liberals.

I think this was the first real test of Prince Michael’s leadership ability; he failed.
 
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