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2025 Federal Election - 28 Apr 25

Except the CPC can’t win anything if the PPC gets enough seats to be that sort of support. PPC seats come at the expense of CPC seats.
That’s why it’s an outlier spot on the card, but these are interesting times.
 
Technically you're right.

In practice not so much.

Because of our party system and unofficial adoption of party leader devotion above all MPs don't vote their conscience and constituents, they vote party.

Its like arguing Canadians don't elect PMs. Again technically youre right. Practically, en masse, people vote for the person in their riding from the party leader they like...

You could make an argument that our electoral system is fine, which I don't think it is, what we need to fix if our party system.
if i vote CPC this year it will be in spite of PP not because of him
 
Except the CPC can’t win anything if the PPC gets enough seats to be that sort of support. PPC seats come at the expense of CPC seats.

Large CPC is still a very real outcome though and I suspect being held to a minority is the best the LPC can hope for for now.

My bingo card is not anywhere near an LPC victory yet.
Pretty sure Poilievre thoroughly ate the PPC’s lunch. While PPC could still cost the CPC a few seats in close ridings - and while this time around that absolutely could matter - there’s zero prospect of the PPC actually winning any seats outright.

A hypothetical LPC victory and political collapse for Poilievre could conceivably see a bit of popular support shift back towards PPC, but the poll that means anything would already have happened. I definitely will be checking the data after the election to see if PPC end up meaningfully impacting any races. They probably cost CPC a half dozen seats last time.
 
Carbon tax coming off fuel in the middle of an election might be worth a couple of points
 
Pretty sure Poilievre thoroughly ate the PPC’s lunch. While PPC could still cost the CPC a few seats in close ridings - and while this time around that absolutely could matter - there’s zero prospect of the PPC actually winning any seats outright.

A hypothetical LPC victory and political collapse for Poilievre could conceivably see a bit of popular support shift back towards PPC, but the poll that means anything would already have happened. I definitely will be checking the data after the election to see if PPC end up meaningfully impacting any races. They probably cost CPC a half dozen seats last time.
Agreed.

A Political collapse for PP could actually see the CPC fragment again. The more extreme elements finding refuge under a PPC banner, a regional element and the centrists either trying to make a go of it or accepting their fate within a more centrist LPC.

I don’t actually see a lot of depth in the CPC to see who would pick up the leadership banner from PP.
 
What I find amusing is all the calls for the CPC to launch a full platform with no election called, particularly when the LPC keep stealing CPC ideas to to boost their polling.

If the poll slip for the LPC again, I can see them considering a common sense firearms act... Anything to hold power.
 
If the poll slip for the LPC again, I can see them considering a common sense firearms act... Anything to hold power.

I would love to see that.

I mean their firearms legislation does as much for public safety as carbon tax does to help the environment.

Maybe the precedence is set now to walk back ineffective policies?
 
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