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Federal Budget 2024 megathread

In every small town I have lived in, the main streets are filled with, guess what? First floor commercial spaces with apartments over top. And these are all buildings dating back to the 40s and 50s, if not earlier.

We are also broad brushing a lot of these affordability issues with a broad brush. Are the medium to small urban areas suffering from the same issues? Is finding homes to buy, or land to build on, an issue in Thunder Bay, Fredericton, Quebec City, Kamloops, and Saskatoon? Yes, the majority of Canada's populations don't live there, but are they feeling like their issues don't matter because of "Big City" problems?
As it is in my small city. It doesn't alter the tax factor for the building owner. They are all accessed by one single door, usually next to the store. They don't have the look or frontage of a fourplex.
 
Oh, domicile of the ghetto, got it.

Rent in Toronto is +33% higher than the national average.

These four-plex 2-bedrooms start at $3,395 / month.


Canadians who consider $3,395 / month rent "ghetto" :salute:

Readers seeking low rent can compare that to these 35 Canadian cities,


 
Latest Angus Reid poll (online survey, ~3K people, 19-23 April, ~2 percentage point margin of error 19/20 times): no budget bounce for Team Red ....
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Also archived here if original link doesn't work.
 
Latest Angus Reid poll (online survey, ~3K people, 19-23 April, ~2 percentage point margin of error 19/20 times): no budget bounce for Team Red ....
View attachment 84670
Also archived here if original link doesn't work.
More impetus for JT to step away after his budget is passed.
 
Latest Angus Reid poll (online survey, ~3K people, 19-23 April, ~2 percentage point margin of error 19/20 times): no budget bounce for Team Red ....
View attachment 84670
Also archived here if original link doesn't work.

Its interesting to me how much the LPC has lost the 18-34 and 35-54 vote.

And the overall spread between NDP and LPC is looking very narrow.
 
Pretty much goes to how I said the needle won’t move until people can get into homes or afford them. This isn’t just an easy button fix with promises.
 
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Potential for LPC and NDP to merge as one party. Angry NDPers have nowhere else to go, JT already lost the fiscally conservative liberal voters. The risk is minimal.

JT will go down in history as a uniter of the left. The new left party could be in a position to win the next election.
 
The expected stampede for people to sell their second properties is not going to happen. What they will do is hold onto them in the hope that the next government retreats on the capital gains front. All the Liberals have done with this budget has made Canada ever more unattractive to do business in.
 
The expected stampede for people to sell their second properties is not going to happen. What they will do is hold onto them in the hope that the next government retreats on the capital gains front. All the Liberals have done with this budget has made Canada ever more unattractive to do business in.
It seems interesting that they chose to go after the demographic most likely to support them. Not many working class people have second homes or cottages, but lots of upper-middle/upper class people do.
 
It seems interesting that they chose to go after the demographic most likely to support them. Not many working class people have second homes or cottages, but lots of upper-middle/upper class people do.

It’s like they didn’t think it through…the de facto target population…
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It seems interesting that they chose to go after the demographic most likely to support them. Not many working class people have second homes or cottages, but lots of upper-middle/upper class people do.
The middle class has been squeezed dry. The Middle/Upper seems like a good target to squeeze from....what do they need cottages for? We could house the homeless in them or immigrants or....
 
More impetus for JT to step away after his budget is passed.
Assuming 1) someone within his earshot is brave enough to encourage that, and if so, 2) PMJT is willing to listen AND do it. My sense is still that he wants to fight it out with PP. He's been saying he's not planning on leaving, but many people in politics thinking of leaving tend to say in their outside voices that they're not - at least until the moment of their choosing, anyway. 🍿

Meanwhile, haven't listened to this yet, but the host (former Liberal operative, worked for Turner, Martin & Wynne) is typically very good at drawing out folks of all team jerseys. This episode brings together former Chiefs of Staff for major players of all stripes to talk about the budget ("Ian Brodie – first Chief of Staff to Stephen Harper, and central to the founding of the CPC. Now … Professor of Political Science at the University of Calgary. Tim Murphy – former Chief of Staff to Paul Martin … now CEO and Managing Partner at McMillan LLP. Brian Topp – former Chief of Staff to Rachel Notley in Alberta … Deputy Chief to Roy Romanow in Saskatchewan … and one of the architects of Jack Layton’s Orange Wave. Today, he’s a founding partner at GT&co.)
 
It’s like they didn’t think it through…the de facto target population…
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And young people don't vote....

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Why are fewer young people voting?​

Elections Canada has commissioned several research studies to better understand why many young people are not showing up to the polls. This research is part of Elections Canada’s ongoing efforts to understand how barriers to voting are evolving.

From the 2015 National Youth Survey, the agency found two major barriers that prevented youth from voting: motivation and access. The survey found that compared with older voters, Canadian youth
  • are less interested in Canadian politics
  • feel less strongly that voting will make a difference
  • believe that the government does not care what they think
  • tend to see voting as a choice rather than a duty
In terms of access, the survey discovered that youth
  • were less likely to receive a voter information card
  • were less aware of the ways to register and vote
  • perceived the voting process as too difficult (getting to the polls, proving their identity)
The research suggests that a key factor in overcoming these barriers is increasing the interest level and political knowledge of future voters.

 
He can't say he's leaving until he has everything in place for the turnover (freeland?). Also, I think it'll be a quick flash to bang. Anything else and his government becomes a lame duck government, unable to accomplish anything until they're punted. Which it probably will anyway under his replacement.
 
I used to believe that Trudeau would stick around for one more go, but since it came out that his best bud, Dominic LeBlanc, was organizing to run for the leadership, and did not deny it when asked, tells me that LeBlanc has Trudeau’s blessing. Therefore it seems that Trudeau may not stick around much longer. The Tories will have to find something else to campaign on other than Trudeau Bad.
 
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