A lot depends on how hard and how publicly the US wants to step on Ukraine directly - or indirectly by standing firm on ATACMS and mobile GBAD limitations (they have already lost a Buk that was part of the initial breech). And how closely the rest of NATO is willing to toe the US line (and what...
🥺 Wrong generation I guess, never play them.
And on a tangentially related note, anybody have a link to the news conference where Zelensky claimed the historically Ukrainian lands in the Russian border region?
Too ironic if Putins claims are flipped back on him...
Actually .... GB is Great Britain. The big island. England, Wales, Scotland. The UK includes N. Ireland, Isle of Mann, the channel islands (Jersey, Guernsey, Alderney, Sark etc)
That would require actual Russian GBAD willing to stay and launch or fighters willing to risk the F16's.
And the scaredycat US administration actually having 'disposed of' a bunch of A10's to a Ukrainian contractor for 'demilitarisation/destruction' instead of just parking them in the boneyard...
"Ukraine’s key allies seemed surprised by the offensive - with White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre saying the US was reaching out to Ukraine to better understand what it hoped to achieve."
Because the first rule of fight club is.... And they have reason not to trust NATO to not leak...
I think it is now safe to say it is not a raid but a full on combined arms breech. The objective (s) of which remain unknown to OSInt.
Amazing what having all the elements and kit needed to implement a (mostly NATO doctrine) attack and the training (and prior combat experience) does to...
Maybe - will leave that to the experts (maybe @ryanmcbeth can shed light on how) but they can use bots to dump enough claims of {whatever violates the rules on that site} to trip the algorithm that blocks the user or deletes the post. The Russians have been doing that on various media to shut...
2 mech brigades complete with a drone unit now across the border. What seems even more interesting is there appears to be a cyber unit assigned to this breech that scours social media etc and deletes anything that could provide useful information to the Russian command structure.
I think...
Two somewhat conflicting observations: If Russian officials dent something it is actually happening and whatever the Russian officialdom claims the enemy is doing or about to do is actually what they are planing. It is like a mirror.
Ukraine now 3km further into Russia near Kursk with a mechanised brigade assault and air cover than Russia was during the rebuffed Karkiv offensive. A bit more mass than a raid into good tank country that does not have in depth defenses and minefields.
Even if not militarily operationally...
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