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Brazil air crash 09 August 2024

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Very unusual to see an aircraft enter into a flat spin like that during the enroute to arrival portion of a flight. The third picture in particular indicates some crazy aircraft motion just prior to the crash (grey line is the projected path direct to SP Aprt).
 
Watching the video, the only thing I can think of is that the aircraft was badly out of CG (too much cargo aft?); it stalled somehow and there was no getting the nose down…
 
Watching the video, the only thing I can think of is that the aircraft was badly out of CG (too much cargo aft?); it stalled somehow and there was no getting the nose down…
T-Tails are notorious for stalling when they get iced up. When they stall, the aircraft is almost always irrecoverable. In general, stalling a T-Tail aircraft results in a proverbial “deep stall,” where the stabilator is blocked from receiving airflow from the fuselage and the only way to recover is to change the aerodynamic configuration of the aircraft (flaps/speed brake) to help a nose over, or use inertial forces to recover (by “rocking” the aircraft out of the stall, although you need fairly heavy control surfaces and/or large control surfaces movements to be effective)
 
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